The big problem is that right now in the first round, it's just as valuable to get two 7 seeds correctly (going all chalk) as it is to get a 14 seed correct (massive, bold upset).
So...for next year...maybe the first round uses seed differential...and rounds 2-6 use seed scoring?
Update: the problem with that is that now 12 over 5 is overvalued as it's very common, while 14 over 3 or 15 over 2 is undervalued. I had no problem picking every 12 because there's little risk of screwing up your later round scoring (because 5's don't consistently reach the later rounds) while picking all 14s is super-risky because 3's often go deep.
Now this gets complicated. Because you almost need a bonus for picking 13-16 seed to advance. Seed differential doesn't do it by itself.
Update: the problem with that is that now 12 over 5 is overvalued as it's very common, while 14 over 3 or 15 over 2 is undervalued. I had no problem picking every 12 because there's little risk of screwing up your later round scoring (because 5's don't consistently reach the later rounds) while picking all 14s is super-risky because 3's often go deep.
Now this gets complicated. Because you almost need a bonus for picking 13-16 seed to advance. Seed differential doesn't do it by itself.
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