QB Carousel

To cover all my bases, these 20 teams appear to be starting the same QB as they had in 2019, no surprises.

Chiefs - Mahomes
Ravens - Jackson
Seahawks - Wilson
Vikings - Cousins
Lions - Stafford
49ers - Garoppolo
Texans - Watson
Packers - Rodgers
Rams - Goff
Eagles - Wentz
Bills - Allen
Broncos - Lock
Falcons - Ryan
Wash - Haskins
Giants - Jones
Browns - Mayfield
Steelers - Ben
Jets - Darnold
Cardinals - Murray
Raiders - Carr

That leaves 12 teams which made moves, setting off chain reactions.

Saints keep Brees
Bridgewater goes to Panthers
Cam Newton goes to ????

Brady goes to the Bucs
Winston goes to ????
Rivers goes to Colts
Is Brissett a starter anymore ????
Chargers miss out on Brady so have Tyrod Taylor for now
Patriots rolling with ????
Cowboys tagging, keeping Dak
Titans keep Tannehill

Bears trade for Foles
Minshew becomes starter for Jags

Bengals setup to draft Burrow
Dolphins expected to draft one...Tua or Herbert?

- - -

Let's assume the Bengals draft Burrow and the Dolphins will draft one of Tua/Herbert.

The Patriots could have their pick of Cam, Brissett, Winston or try to draft one of Tua/Herbert. They have a history with Brissett but maybe Belichick sees something in Newton or Jameis that he thinks he can fix. Based on their history of making smart personnel moves, it would be very Belichick to draft Tua or Herbert and have them turn into a Pro Bowler for the next 10 years. (And that's good company with Mahomes/Jackson/Watson holding down the fort.)

I'm surprised the Chargers seem content to start Tyrod Taylor, which leads me to think they would be in the mix for one of Tua/Herbert or maybe they draft Jordan Love or Jacob Eason. For all of Bill Simmons' theorizing that the Chargers need to sell tickets in their new stadium and would want Brady to help that along, starting Taylor doesn't solve that issue.

I kinda expected Gruden to go after a free agent QB. Maybe Winston or Cam finds a new home in Las Vegas.

There are other names like Dalton and Mariota (and I'm sure others that I'm forgetting) but they appeared destined to become backups in 2020.

DRAFT UPDATE 4.23.20:

Dolphins indeed go Tua at 5. Considering that we don't even know if there will be a 2020 season at this point, it's the perfect year to take a QB that may not be healthy right away.

I was right that the Chargers wouldn't just roll with Tyrod Taylor. They grab Herbert at 6.

Love goes to...the Packers? Rodgers is only 36. Brady and Brees are still playing into their 40s. Odd choice.

At this point the biggest question marks for QBs are Cam, Jameis and Brissett.
And the only team who seems like they need another QB is the Patriots. They could have taken Love but instead traded down. I guess they think Stidham is the next Brady. I kinda thought if they didn't grab Cam or Brissett that they might draft a first-round QB.

4.26.20 Update:

Jameis Winston is no longer a starting quarterback. He signed with the Saints who already have Brees and Taysom Hill. He threw for over 5,000 yards and over 30 touchdowns last year. If you ignore the 30 interceptions, Winston seems like a highly coveted asset. If you go back to my draft predictions five years ago on Winston vs Mariota, I wasn't a million miles off. But the correct prediction for both would be they'd be backups in 5 years. Crazy stuff.

Cam Newton is still the biggest question mark for me.