Sunday, March 20, 2022

Bracket Analysis

We started with 14 bracket entries. I think here are the 8 that have a chance of winning. Here's all the possible points for everyone. 


Grant

Elite 8: Gonzaga, Duke, Arizona, Villanova, Kansas
Final 4: Gonzaga, Arizona, Kansas
NC: Gonzaga over Kansas

Leela/Sid

Elite 8: Gonzaga, Texas Tech, Villanova, UCLA, Purdue, Providence
Final 4: Gonzaga, Purdue, Providence
NC: ------ over Gonzaga

Brit

Elite 8: Gonzaga, Texas Tech, Arizona, Villanova, Purdue, Kansas
Final 4: Gonzaga, Villanova
NC: Gonzaga over Villanova

Dave

Elite 8: Gonzaga, Texas Tech, Arizona, UCLA, Kansas
Final 4: Gonzaga, Arizona
NC: Gonzaga over Arizona

Savan

Elite 8: Gonzaga, Texas Tech, Arizona, Kansas
Final 4: Gonzaga, Arizona, Kansas
NC: Gonzaga over Arizona

Niraj

Elite 8: Gonzaga, Duke, Arizona, Villanova, UCLA, Kansas
Final 4: Gonzaga, Arizona
NC: Gonzaga over Arizona

Kirat

Elite 8: Gonzaga, Texas Tech, Arizona, UCLA, Purdue, Kansas
Final 4: Gonzaga, UCLA, Arizona
NC: Arizona over UCLA

Bridget

Elite 8: Gonzaga, UCLA, Kansas
Final 4: Gonzaga, UCLA, Kansas
NC: Kansas over UCLA


My path to victory is pretty narrow. I need Kansas not to get to the Final Four. I basically need everything to fall my way. 

Kirat and Bridget have simpler paths to focus on: just get your champion correct.
Brit needs Gonzaga over Villanova. Grant needs Gonzaga over Kansas. 

There are 15 games left. A few that really matter.

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