2018 NFL Gambling: Method C

A quick recap: before the season started I created 2 methods of betting on NFL Futures.

Method C is ongoing wagers throughout the season.

Here's what I have so far:

1000 on Chiefs to win division +140
1000 on Rams to win division -290

2000 on Chiefs to win division +130

That leaves me with 6000 more to spend this season. With Jimmy G out for the year, the Rams odds have jumped up to -1600 to win their division. Seems like a lock, but putting 1000 on those odds is kind of pointless. 

At the moment, Pats are -300 and Dolphins are +260. Coming into the season, I thought the Dolphins would finish between 6-10 and 8-8 and I think that's still true. They haven't played anyone good. I still believe in the Patriots long term. The Dolphins play the Pats this week and I'm guessing the Pats win and go back to being a -800 favorite...so -300 is tempting. In fact, Patriots are still the AFC favorites for making the SB at +325 with Chiefs at +350. 

(At the moment I'm convinced Chiefs win the division but incredibly nervous that they fall short in the playoffs.)

I'm going to go ahead and put 

1000 on Patriots to win division at -300

500 on Rams to win NFC at +250

Still leaves me 4500 for the rest of the year. 

Jaguars at -175 to win division is tempting. I don't believe in the Titans, Colts or Texans so I expect those odds to get much worse. But I'll wait and see.

11.30.18 Update

Man, good thing I didn't trust the Jags. At this point, I still have 4500 to spend, so I might as well use it up:

1000 on Chiefs to win AFC at +210
1000 on Pats to win AFC at +230
500 on Ravens to win division at +350
2000 on Chiefs to win division at -900