Wednesday, January 23, 2019

Burger Bet in the Mahomes era

There's odds for the 2020 Super Bowl already.

Chiefs are a top 3 team. Lions are a bottom 5 team. A burger bet between the two records seems kind of unnecessary. So we're adding a wrinkle.

Until further notice, the burger bet is now regular season record + record against the spread.

It wouldn't have made a difference this year, because the Chiefs and Lions were both about the same, although the Lions were better ATS than the Chiefs.

However, in this system the Browns ended better than the Eagles, despite finishing 2 games behind in the standings. This system is designed to punish favorites and reward underdogs that have a surprising season, so it should at least give the Lions a better shot. (I'll even make the caveat that if the Lions have the better record than the Chiefs, than the ATS stuff is unnecessary--I'll honor that victory.)


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