Tuesday, December 31, 2024

The Top Ten of 2024

Another great year with a ton of travel and exciting accomplishments. It feels like I say that every year, but I guess that's a good thing.

Honorable Mentions:






10. Lions Playoff Coverage from Mark and Me, Twice
Who knew Detroit was even eligible to win playoff games?

Mark and I met up in STL for our best owner's meeting yet. 

I said I wasn't going to do this but I did it anyways. 

This hasn't been proven wrong yet!

To really appreciate the Chiefs success, you have to understand what it was like before Mahomes.

An incredible guy's weekend trip, one of the best!

I made new music that was creatively fulfilling. Fun!

A very satisfying point to reach in my life.

18 posts documenting something I never even dreamed of.

but what could be better than that?

The Number One thing from this year. 

Sunday, December 22, 2024

Best Movies I Saw in 2024

Time for my annual movie-watching roundup. 



I watched 100 movies this year.

47 I had seen before. 

53 I watched for the first time.

I intentionally tried to rewatch some of my favorite movies, leading the ratio being different than previous years.

Instead of linking to my reviews, I'm just including screenshots directly.

Top 5 Movies That Came Out in 2024

Honorable Mention to Trap, Monkey Man, and Argylle, which I liked even though everyone else hated it.

5. Deadpool & Wolverine

3. Hit Man (it says 2023 because it premiered at a festival, but it didn't get released until 2024)


3. Carry-On



2. Wolfs


1. The Fall Guy



Top 10 Movies I Saw in 2024

Honorable mention to Dumb and Dumber, Now You See Me, Lucky Number Slevin, Talladega Nights and Deadpool 2. 


10. 12 Angry Men


9. The Manchurian Candidate (2004)


8. Wolfs

(see above)

7. The Fall Guy

(see above)

6. BlackBerry 


5. Ocean's Eleven

(This is my review from a 2022 rewatch, but I did rewatch it in 2024.)

4. The Dark Knight


3. Anchorman


2. The Truman Show



1. Interstellar



Friday, December 20, 2024

Most Watched TV Programs of All Time

New Adventures of Old Christine did not make the cut.


So of the top two most watched TV shows, one was an American hero reaching the pinnacle of human achievement, and the other was some dude named Armstrong walking on a rock.


Tuesday, December 17, 2024

Week 15: Injured

Let's check in on the injury report:

Injury Report: 
Mahomes, Patrick. (QUESTIONABLE)
Lions, Detroit. (OUT)

- - -

AFC

In: Chiefs, Bills, Ravens, Steelers, Texans, Broncos, Chargers

Likely In: none

Up In The Air: none

Likely Out: none

Crossed Off: Titans, Jaguars, Patriots, Browns, Raiders, Jets, Dolphins, Bengals, Colts



NFC

In: Lions, Commanders, Eagles, Vikings, Packers

Likely In: Rams, Bucs

Up In The Air: Seahawks

Likely Out: Falcons

Crossed Off: Giants, Panthers, Saints, Cowboys, Bears, 49ers, Cardinals


- - -

Concerns for Contenders:

Chiefs: Offense still not clicking yet and Mahomes ankle
Eagles: Can everyone just get along?
Bills: Defense and can they overcome playoff ineptitude
Lions: Injuries. Defense is decimated. 
Vikings: Is Darnold really going to go to the Super Bowl?
Packers: The path as a wild-card team
Steelers: Can TJ Watt and Pickens be healthy? Can they win the division?
Ravens: Can they trick Lamar into thinking the regular season lasts 22 games?

Eagles and Packers concerns seem the mildest. At this point either one seems like a good bet for the Super Bowl considering the Lions injuries. 

In the AFC, who knows what we're going to get? Josh Allen is the MVP but his defense is having trouble. I'm not betting against KC. 

DVOA says the Ravens are the best. I could maybe believe in them if they had the 1 seed, but they're not going to have it. 

Friday, December 13, 2024

Winningest NFL Coaches

Bill Belichick appears to be done coaching in the NFL. This opens the door for Andy Reid. 


Regular Season Only


Andy is averaging around 13 regular season wins a year. On pace to pass Belichick in 2027. Would take 5 more seasons at that clip to pass Shula. Reid is currently 66. 

Playoffs Only


Reid is 5 behind Belichick. Reid has added 14 wins in the last 5 years, minimum of 2 every year. Hard to count on playoff wins, but technically on pace to pass Belichick in 2026 or 2027.

Regular Season + Playoff Wins Combined

1. Don Shula, 347 wins
2. Bill Belichick, 333 wins
3. George Halas, 324 wins
4. Andy Reid, 296 wins

Averaging 15 combined wins a year, Reid is on track to become number one in 2028.

Monday, December 09, 2024

I figured out Super Bowl 59

Ten years ago, I had perhaps my best prediction ever. 


I've done it again. I've seen the future. I know how Super Bowl 59 will unfold.

- - - 

This season has been dominated by two teams of destiny, one in each conference. Two 12-1 teams on the verge of clinching the first round bye and home field advantage, who couldn't be different in how they're winning.

The Kansas City Chiefs are winning ugly and close. After two straight years of winning the Super Bowl, it's almost as if the NFL script writers got bored and desperate. Instead of just having the Chiefs win normal games, someone decided it would be more interesting if every week the Chiefs found a new way to win on a last second play, most of which might happen every couple of years or so in the entire league. 

The Likely toe on the game-tying TD
Getting pass interference on 4th and 16
Overtime vs Tampa
Blocked field goal to win
Botched snap by Raiders
Doink and in vs Chargers

Some call it Tayvoodoo. Some call it black magic or dark magic. Some say that the Chiefs have sold their soul to the Devil. 

I don't care what you call it. But you'd be a fool to ignore it at this point. 

On the other hand, you have the Detroit Lions. They are winning pretty and big. Point differential of +183 through 13 games, best in the league. Next closest is Buffalo at +129. (The Chiefs are down at +56. Which is third in the AFC West behind two teams with only 8 wins.)

Detroit is a breakthrough. Aesthetically pleasing and with the best motivational coach in the league, aggressive and tough. They are looking to go to the Super Bowl for the first time. And they're doing it in style. 

These two teams are destined to meet in the Super Bowl this year. And where is it being held? No other city than New Orleans, the epicenter of voodoo magic and the dark arts.

Here's how it will unfold:

We already know it's going to be a close game. The Chiefs don't know how to be in anything else. But every time, it hinges upon a new element. So there won't be any repeats. No toes on the line or botched snaps. No it will be something we haven't seen yet. 

I was running though a mental list of possibilities of unusual ways to win...when it hit me. The inverse of what we just saw. 

We were given foreshadowing a month ago. Bates, the kicker for Detroit, has a knack of kicking it just inside the uprights. 

Here's a composite of two kicks narrowly sneaking by the upright.



So imagine you take a kicker that does THAT, but instead they are kicking in the voodoo capital of the universe against a team that has mastered the dark arts?

The Detroit Lions will lose the Super Bowl by doinking a kick to the Kansas City Chiefs. 

You might assume it's a field goal, and it might be. But it came to me in my vision as a doinked extra point. The most aggressive team in the Lions will lose by going for one.

Tuesday, December 03, 2024

Week 13: Post-Thanksgiving Stretch

Well, the AFC playoff picture hasn't changed in two weeks.

AFC

In: Chiefs, Bills, Ravens, Steelers, Texans

Likely In: Chargers, Broncos

Up In The Air: none

Likely Out: Colts

Crossed Off: Titans, Jaguars, Patriots, Browns, Raiders, Jets, Dolphins, Bengals




The NFC is both easy and complicated.

NFC

In: Lions, Commanders, Eagles, Vikings, Packers, NFC West winner, NFC South Winner

Likely In: 

Up In The Air: Seahawks/Cardinals/Rams, Falcons/Bucs

Likely Out: 

Crossed Off: Giants, Panthers, Saints, Cowboys, Bears, 49ers


We don't have a race for the wild-card teams. We have a race for two division winners. 

In the South, we have the Falcons and Bucs, both 6-6. The Falcons have a -34 point differential, while the Bucs are +39. The Falcons have lost three in a row while the Bucs have won two in a row. The metrics favor the Bucs. I remember rooting for the Falcons last year and it was awful. So let's say the Bucs win this division. 

In the West, the Seahawks are 7-5 but the Cardinals and Rams are lurking at 6-6. This whole division is a crapshoot. We'll have to put a pin in this one. 

- - -

Just for the hell of it...let's check in on the Burrowhead crew. The Bengals secondary coined that in January 2023.

Since Burrowhead was coined, the Bengals are 0-1 in the playoffs, missed the playoffs following the 2023 season, and are currently 4-8. 

Since Burrowhead was coined, the Chiefs are 6-0 in the playoffs, including two Super Bowl wins, and are 11-1 this year. 

Since Burrowhead was coined, the Bengals are 0-3 vs the Chiefs, including this year where the secondary committed pass interference on 4th and 16.

If you come for the King, you best not miss.