Monday, March 27, 2006

Final Four


While everyone is all over the fact that George Mason did make an improbable run to the Final Four, no one seems to be talking about the fact that in all 4 Elite Eight games, the underdog won. Has this ever happened before?

Also, ESPN and everyone else quoting ESPN is quick to point out of their 2.7 million brackets, only 4 people picked the Final Four. But here's the thing: Only 2 of them are in the top leaderboard spots. One is in 8th, and one is off the board. What's the point? Well, if you had enough brackets you could pick lots of crazy upsets to cover yourself and try and get the final four right. But in doing so you'll end up with a sweet 16 featuring: unc-wilimngton, nc st, northwestern st, and san diego st for example. And that would put you in 8th place. So it's not enough just to get the final four right, but do it, while not going overboard with upsets to still rack up the points. Also, all the people with the final four teams right, picked Florida to win it all. So if you think these guys had to have some sort of time machine to get their bracket right, put all your money on Florida, back to the future style.

Re-pardon the re-interruption, but the best strategy is betting the opposite of what Mark thinks.

After picking 5 of the 8 sweet 16 games right (with spreads), I only got 1 out of 4 games right over the weekend, picking GM +8. Another thing, while I was surprised that GM won the game, they were only an 8 point dog, and I thought that was too high anyways. This wasn't Miracle on Ice. So over the last four days, I've gone 6 out of 12. Mark went with the favorites every game during the elite eight, putting him at 4 out of 12.

So if we were putting 20 bucks on each game, I would be even, and Mark would be down $80.

Also, thanks to Bobby for ridiculing us and then telling us how UConn would win it all, even giving us a final score prediction. Just goes to show you how unpredictable these games are.

Also, my picks broke me even, but if I just would have heard what Mark picked, and then done the opposite, I would have made $80.

1 comment:

  1. I'm like the Sports Guy picking NFL games.

    It makes me kind of sad to the that George Mason shirt one year after seeing nearly the same one in orange.

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