Saturday, April 26, 2014

Game 5 tonight

I've been a fan of the Avalanche for three full seasons. Tonight is the biggest game I'll have ever seen. And yet, the odds are very likely that we'll be back here for a game 7 on Wednesday and then that will be the biggest game to date.

If the Avs lose tonight, I think it's a 90% chance the Wild take it in 6.
Even with an Avs win, I think there's a 90% chance the Wild force a game 7.

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That was me clearing Grant's drool off the keyboard. Anyways.

The first game Minnesota was ahead and the Avs got the miracle late win.
The second game Colorado was in control the whole time.
The third and fourth games Minnesota dominated. Shots for game 3 were 46-22. Shots for game 4 were 32-12.

Over a 120-minute sample size in Minnesota, the Wild outshot the Avs by 229%. That is not good. It's tough to win a game when you take 12 shots.

This is far worse than the regular season advanced stats would have suggested. If the Avs could have only been outshot by say 140% they might have picked up a game in Minnesota.

And after all that, game 3 went to overtime and game 4 was a 1 goal game as well.

Currently home teams in the west are 16-2. Let's keep it going.

1 comment:

  1. You know what you have to do, right? Go to Buffalo Wild Wings after you put the boys to sleep.

    ReplyDelete