Monday, April 28, 2014

Was Miller an Upgrade?

The St. Louis Blues acquired goalie Ryan Miller on March 1. At the time, they were 2nd in the league.


They were in position to face the eventual wild-card winner which turned out to be the Minnesota Wild. They were on pace to finish with 117 points, while the Avalanche were on pace to finish with 111.

Over the next six weeks, with Ryan Miller, the Blues lost ground.


The Blues actually finished with 111 points, the Avalanche with 112. Not winning the division meant the Blues were now set to face the defending champion Chicago Blackhawks.

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In 40 games with the Sabres, Miller had a save percentage of .923
In 19 regular season games with the Blues, he had a save percentage of .903
In 6 playoff games with the Blues, he had a save percentage of .897

This year there are 45 goalies who played enough games to have qualified stats according to ESPN. (This throws out the outliers of the backup Ottawa goalie that faced 11 shots all year but didn't allow any goals.) The following are how these save percentages rank among those 45 goalies.

.923 ranks tied for 8th
.903 ranks tied for 40th
.897 ranks 44th

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This year, Brian Elliot had a .922 save percentage, tied for 11th in the league.
Jaroslav Halak had a .921 save percentage, ranking 13th in the league.
Counting only the regular season, Miller had a .918 save percentage, ranking 19th.

When they traded for him, Miller was a hair better than the goalies on their roster. In the six weeks that followed, Miller played like one of the worst goalies in the league (40th out of 45) and finished the regular season slightly worse than the original Blues roster goalies.

2 comments:

  1. I think you should stop living in your parents' basement. Everybody knows Ryan Miller is an elite goaltender. I don't care what your fancy numbers say.

    ReplyDelete
  2. These aren't even fancy numbers! Living in a basement sounds awesome.

    ReplyDelete