Monday, January 06, 2020

The Future of the AFC Is Here

Let's start with one of my favorite lists: QBs to appear in the AFC Championship Game since 2001 when Brady entered the league.

Brady: 13
Manning: 5
Roethlisberger: 5
Flacco: 3
Sanchez: 2
Mahomes: 1
Stewart: 1
Gannon: 1
McNair: 1
Plummer: 1
Rivers: 1
Luck: 1
Bortles: 1
Trent Green/Matt Cassel/Alex Smith: 0

Every year only 2 out of 16 QBs make it. So even the greats don't make it all that often. Peyton Manning played 17 seasons and made it 5 times.

Rivers has made it to 8 Pro Bowls in 14 seasons as a starter. 1 appearance in the AFC title game. It's hard to do.

The last time that the AFC Championship Game didn't feature Brady, Manning or Big Ben was in the 2002-03 playoffs. The Raiders hosted the Titans. Jerry Rice played in the game.

That's 16 straight games featuring at least one of Brady/Manning/Big Ben. Often more than one. In the last 16 games/32 slots, there have been 22 appearances by the big three.

But that streak is over.

This year's two slots will be divvied up among Mahomes, Watson, and Jackson. (And possibly Tannehill. Which doesn't fit the clean narrative that I'm building, but whatever.)

It's possible that Mahomes, Watson and Jackson are the next big three. Or it's possible that the AFC will be more like the NFC with more parity. (If I had to pick, I'd bet on the former.)

Oh and by the way, they happen to be the three AFC Pro Bowl QBs as well. Mahomes and Watson are 24. Jackson is 22.




We don't know if we're in a post-Brady world yet. But let's say that it is. This weekend, two people will claim the first QB appearances in a post-Brady world.

Oh and the streak for Mahomes/Watson/Jackson is already at two years. Mahomes was in the game last year.

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