Tuesday, December 13, 2005

Predictions Review

In my first week of predicting scores, I went 11-5. Good, but not great. The actual scores are on the left, with my predictions on the right in italics. Correct picks are in bold, with games reading Visitor, Home.


Bears 9, Steelers 21 Bears 10, Steelers 13
Browns 20, Bengals 23 Browns 10, Bengals 28
Texans 10, Titans 13 Texans 9, Titans 13
Colts 26, Jaguars 18 Colts 24, Jaguars 17
Patriots 35, Bills 7 Patriots 20, Bills 10
Raiders 10, Jets 26 Raiders 24, Jets 7
Rams 13, Vikings 27 Rams 13, Vikings 23
Bucs 20, Panthers 10 Bucs 17, Panthers 24
Giants 26, Eagles 23 Giants 31, Eagles 10
49ers 3, Seahawks 41 49ers 7, Seahawks 31
Redskins 17, Cardinals 13 Redskins 14, Cardinals 17
Ravens 10, Broncos 12 Ravens 6, Broncos 24
Chiefs 28, Cowboys 31 Chiefs 27, Cowboys 24
Dolphins 23, Chargers 21 Dolphins 16, Chargers 30
Lions 13, Packers 16 Lions 10, Packers 13
Saints 17, Falcons 36 Saints 13, Falcons 21

What's better than the record, is how accurate the points were predicted. The Titans and Rams performed as expected, both at 13. I was only off by one for the Bears and Chiefs.

Best Games Predicted (total point diff.)
Texans-Titans (1)
Colts-Jaguars (3)
Rams-Vikings (4)
Lions-Packers (6)
Redskins-Cardinals (7)
Chiefs-Cowboys (8)
Bears-Steelers (9)

With predictions like those maybe I should stick to betting over/unders instead of picking winners.

Note: compared with the experts at ESPN, my 11-5 was not that great. But my percentage for this week, ties the 2nd best percentage overall with Hoge, trailing only Salisbury. Perhaps one week is not enough data to perform accurate comparisons...but until we have more weeks of data- I am officially a better football mind than Theismann, Jaworski, Schlereth, Allen, Mortensen and Golic.

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