So I found this spreadsheet of Bill Connelly's algorithm that projects winners and then compares it to the actual spread. Here are the 12 games this week where there's a 5 point difference between his projection and the current spread. His best bets this week are San Diego State to cover -6, Nevada in a pick 'em and Kentucky to cover -16.5.
I'm going to Vegas in a month, so I thought it would be worth it to get a sense of whether or not these are actually accurate.
