Showing posts with label BS SB II. Show all posts
Showing posts with label BS SB II. Show all posts

Tuesday, January 04, 2011

BS SB II: The Aftermath


All hail my reverse jinx! Okay fine, I won't take all the credit for Mark coming up short in the playoffs again. Harlan did his part. And Mark is still a dynasty, just more of a Buffalo Bills kind of dynasty.



- - -

Yeah, yeah, I make jokes because I don't make the playoffs. Jokes are all I have. Like this one: any time you start two running backs that combine for 7 points, you deserve to win the championship.

Seriously, my teams always blow. Sometimes it looks like I'll back into the playoffs, but I never deserve it.

- - -

Friday, December 24, 2010

BS SB II: The Pick


At time of writing on Wednesday, the line is only Mark by -10. Without even looking at the lineups I think the line has to be Mark -25 or -30 based on the history of these programs. This is a bigger reputation mismatch than Namath's Jets vs the Baltimore Colts.

Not only do I think that Mark wins it straight up, I'm picking Mark and laying -25. Never bet against a dynasty.

BS SB II: How These Teams Were Built



Let's take a look and see how these guys built their teams.

First up: Mark


So what jumps out here is that he's got the #1 QB, the #1 RB, and the #1 WR. But he drafted the WR, traded Brady (the #2 QB with 318 points) for the RB, and grabbed the QB on waivers.

So if he hadn't grabbed Vick, he would gotten basically the same points from his QB (though not really since Vick missed a few games, meaning his points were more condensed, better value) and he wouldn't have gotten Foster.

Mark picked up Vick after he scored 23 points after coming in for Kolb in Week 1. He picked him up on Friday, so everyone had ample time to think about it. I remember that pre-prison, Vick wasn't that great of a fantasy play, so I thought it was a fluke. I still can't explain it.

His Super Bowl starters are a little misleading. At a glance, it looks like his team was built on the waiver wire--but aside from Vick in week 1, the core of his team was formed in the draft: Peterson, White, Foster via Brady, Bowe and Wallace. Sure he's done a good job of playing matchups and he's got top 10 players at TE/K/D via waivers, but this team was headed to the Super Bowl based on Draft + Vick.

Next Up: Harlan


His strengths are the opposite of Mark's, and the opposite of what you prefer: K/TE/DST. Still, you have to give him credit for drafting the #1 defense (who's scored as many points as the #8 WR) and the #1 kicker. And for picking up the #1 TE after some asshole dropped him thinking that Keller was the next Gates.

Rodgers has been solid, but the key to this team is Peyton Hillis. Aside from Nicks, Hillis is his only good RB/WR. How did he pick up the #2 RB in Fantasy?

Hillis had 9 carries for 41 yards and a TD against Tampa Bay in week 1, for a total of 12 points. I had James Harrison who I thought was going to be the only guy in Cleveland, so I was monitoring the Hillis situation. But in that game Harrison had 9 carries for 52 yards. Based on that box score, Harlan picks up Hillis who takes off and leads his team to the Super Bowl.

What's annoying for me, is that I was a Hillis guy in 2009. I told a friend in a different league who needed running back help that I thought Hillis had a bunch of potential on the Broncos. Of course, Hillis does nothing and I look like an idiot. Just one year early.

Thursday, December 23, 2010

BS SB II: Media Day Interview #2: Mark


1. What was your draft day strategy?

My draft day strategy was, especially after I saw that I had the #2 overall pick, get Adrian Peterson or Chris Johnson, whoever didn't go first. Turns out I was lucky that AD fell to me since Johnson has been a disappointment this year. Then in the second round I needed to get an elite WR. I was hoping one would still be around. When I saw that White, Megatron, and Miles Austin were still on the board, but Schaub, Brees, Manning, Brees, and Rodgers were gone already, I wanted an elite QB, so I drafted Brady and knew I could wait two picks for my turn to come around again and get a good WR. I didn't know who would be best, so I didn't care if two of them would be taken. Turns out Austin was taken and I had White in previous years and liked him, so that was easy. In round 4 I thought I'd go for one of the top TEs, hoping to have an advantage every week at that position, because it seemed like WR and RB were deep this year. So I took Clark a spot before Gates went. Turns out that was a mistake, but they both got hurt eventually anyway. I could have gone undefeated with Gates, though.

Next we came to filling out the lineup. I had a great RB, QB, WR, and TE. I just drafted based on who I thought was best available. I thought Bowe had potential to break out this year and he was going to be the #1 WR on his team at least. When I took Crabtree in the 6th round, I was thinking, then I'll get Foster or Spiller with my next pick. So of course Steve-o took both of them. Crabtree over Foster, who I forgot about at the time, was my biggest draft day mistake. He was low on the ESPN draft application board, so I didn't see him and took Crabtree. If I had just drafted him, I never would have given Steve-o Tom Brady. Again, I could have gone undefeated. In the 8th round, I couldn't believe Mike Wallace was still on the board. I knew he might struggle at first, but that Big Ben loved him as a deep threat last year. Out of my last six picks, on Toby Gerhart is on my team now, and I just picked him up two weeks ago.

I waited on kicker and STD, knowing that I could just drop them every week and play from the free agency pool if I had to. I'm still a little embarrassed I drafted a hurt Chaz Schilens. He was at the top of the ESPN list at the time. I could have done more homework, but overall, all of the players that I drafted in the first five rounds turned out great.

2. Any mistakes or regrets this season?

I don't feel as though I made any mistakes or have any regrets this year. Other than a few draft misses (Clark over Gates and Crabtree over Foster), I feel as though I played a nearly flawless year. I probably sat some people when they should have started, but I grabbed Vick (although from free agency the week after he started, so we all messed up there) and then was able to turn Tom Brady into Arian Foster. I almost dropped Bowe just before he set a Chiefs record for consecutive games with a TD. And I should have picked up Tamme when Clark went down.

3. Any smack you want to talk about your chances of winning it all?

If I don't win the championship, I'll be embarrassed. Harlan has a good team, and I'm not shocked that he made it to the championship. I told Dave awhile ago, when Dave was leading the division, to watch out for Harlan. But come on now, Murder Boners, Tashard Choice and Ronnie Brown don't belong on championship teams. If you win, it's only going to be because my players didn't live up to their standards or got hurt. You better pray for injury.

4. If you don't win the SB, will this season be a failure?

If I don't win the BS SB, this season will be a failure. As far back as October 2nd, when I picked up Vincent Jackson, I was looking ahead to the playoffs. I've got the best team by far and should successfully defend my title. I can only beat myself.

5. Anything else you want to get off your chest?

I played really well all year, but I also got lucky. A month ago I tried to make all kind of trades, giving up Bowe and/or Wallace, Blount, and more just for Nicks (who then got hurt), Marshall (who just hasn't been that good), and other top WRs. None of the guys I went after have been better than Bowe or Wallace, so I'm lucky people turned me down. I also tried to trade Vick for Foster and was turned down. Steve-o wanted Brady. Lucky me. I also tried to trade Vick for Steven Jackson, Maurice Jones-Drew, and maybe another "top" RB, but was denied. My thinking was that I was carrying Kolb as insurance for Vick, but if I traded Vick, I would clear another spot on my bench for a position player. Thank you all for rejecting my trades and thank you Steve for wanting Brady instead of Vick, and being dumb enough to give me the best RB in fantasy.

BS SB II: Media Day Interview #1: Harlan


1. What was your draft day strategy?


Without giving away my strategy too much - - At the time - this season has proven to change my draft style based on certain performances and the initial waiver wire - I draft the thinnest (talent wise) position first. At the time it was quarterback. It was easy to get a decent running back late or tight end, This season that has seemed to have changed with Sam Bradford, and David Gerrard probably being available deeper than the first round next year.

2. Any mistakes or regrets this season?

I will never draft Joseph Addai again.

3. Any smack you want to talk about your chances of winning it all?

Not really, for the first quarter of the season I didn't expect to be here so I'm just content. As long as I perform well that's all I care about.

4. If you don't win the SB, will this season be a failure?

Not at all, I have a 7 game winning streak and won one week without a QB (Rogers got hurt and gave me 1 point)

5. Anything else you want to get off your chest?

We need to make the bench smaller next year - every person literally has two teams and this takes too many players off waivers in a 12 person league. Also the special teams performance should be attributed to the individual as well as a team, ie: i should have gotten points for Dez Bryants 2 returns for tds this year.

Editor's Note: I put up a poll before the season about how to handle special teams touchdowns and the league voted to keep it to just defense/special teams. The competition committee will bring this to another vote next offseason.

Wednesday, December 22, 2010

BS SB II: Storyline #2 - From Worst to Almost First

Last year was my first year playing fantasy football with Harlan. He finished the regular season in last place and had to buy the 2009 trophy.

In 2010, he continued talking smack, but had the performance to back it up. I led our division most of the way, but after I beat him by half a point in Week 2, he came back and thoroughly trashed me in Week 13 to clinch the division. His team doesn't look like much, but he kept finding ways to win.

Pretty rare to go from the worst team in the league to being in the Super Bowl. But good for him. Let's just hope he doesn't cry too hard after Team Repeat crushes the Murder Boners.

BS SB II: Storyline #1 - Mark's Dynasty

The biggest story surrounding BS Super Bowl II is the historical dominance of one Mark Pearlman.

Mark was introduced to fantasy football in the middle of the 2003 season, in the form of a weekly salary cap game called Home Team Challenge on nfl.com.

In 2004, we got our small crew together and started our first real season of Home Team Challenge. Mark won the season.

The same way he would do in 2005 and 2006.

In 2007, we ventured out and got everyone in a true draft fantasy league on nfl.com. Piecing together HC records, I've established that Burnsy led our league in points thanks to Brady. But Mark secured the #1 seed in the playoffs. When Brady only scored 3 points in the playoffs for Niraj, Mark advanced to Construda Super Bowl I.

I started 1-5 (because Brees sucked!) but made the playoffs thanks to a Christmas Construda Miracle and beat Kirat by 2 in the first round of the playoffs.

The Super Bowl was a blowout (which sounds better than Mark blew me out) thanks to Warner and Jacobs going off, both former players on my team. Mark finished 14-2 and basically won 4 titles in a row, 4-0 in full seasons.

In 2008, I wrote "If anyone ever deserved to win a Super Bowl, Mark did this year." Mark led the league in points, scored 194 more than 2nd place. This was a runaway. 9 out of 14 times he scored more than 105 on nfl.com, something my team that almost made the playoffs only did once.

And yet his team was not built for the playoffs, he lost in round 1 (week 15) for a final record of 10-5. Matt advanced to the Super Bowl (for reference, that year Matt also only broke 105 once).

In 2009, Mark again led the league in points. He had a 200+ game that let him smack Burnsy in the face with a burrito 13 times. He did it by drafting Peterson and trading for Chris Johnson. He won BS Super Bowl I, finishing the season 10-5.

This year, he led the league in points, yet again. For the second straight year, he traded for the top running back (Foster). And he's going to win it all again. He's going to finish 14-2.

- - -

To recap:

2004: Won Home Team Challenge
2005: Won Home Team Challenge
2006: Won Home Team Challenge
2007: #1 seed, Won Construda Super Bowl I, finished 14-2
2008: #1 seed, led league in points, lost in playoffs semifinal, finished 10-5
2009: #2 seed, led league in points, Won SB Super Bowl I, finished 10-5
2010: #1 seed, led league in points, will win SB Super Bowl II, will finish 14-2

That's an incredible 48-14 all-time record for a winning percentage of 77.42%. Oh yeah, and six titles in seven years. This isn't just a dynasty, this is complete domination.

BS SB II: last time they met

These teams met in Week 6. It was not close.


Mark put up 138.5 while the best player in fantasy for the year sat on the bench with a 0.

Not much has changed for Harlan. He did put up 153 in week 11 relying on big games from Rodgers, Hillis, Steelers D and Fred Jackson. So I guess you never know.

Tuesday, December 21, 2010

BS SB II: tale of the tape

mark vs harlan

record
13-2______11-4

points
1723.5______1613

regular season points rank
1st________2nd

draft slots
2nd______4th

winning streak
9 games______6 games

transactions
36 acq, 1 trade_______22 acq, 0 trades

hypothetical record if they played each other every week
10-5_________5-10

qb rank
1st_______6th

top 2 rb ranks
1st and 4th___2nd and 21st

top 2 wr ranks
1st and 5th_____8th and 28th

top 10 overall
vick (1st) and foster (6th)___rodgers (7th) and schaub (9th)

BS Super Bowl II: It's on!

Monday, December 20, 2010

Fantasy 2010 Final Screenshots

After combing through the HC archives, I realized that it might be helpful for future Dave if I kept screenshots of how the fantasy season ended.