2026 NFL Preview

Before we get into 2026, a look back at the last 7 years of NFL previews, graded by ChatGPT.

When you look at my Super Bowl predictions results, it's kind of amazing. For reference, here's how the Las Vegas Sportsbooks did over that stretch:

6 out of 21. I got 9 out of 21, except my strategy was basically spam my favorite team and they actually came through for me. The big question...will I stick with that strategy entering the 2026 NFL Season?

Let's mix it up this year and start with a different division. 

AFC East

The Patriots went 14-3, went to the Super Bowl, and I still never believed in them. And yet, maybe I was right? And now Vrabel is seeing what it's like to be inside an NFL insider.

For years, you could pencil in Josh Allen in first place. They finish in 2nd place and fire their head coach. New coach bump? 

The Dolphins blew everything up and are in complete rebuild. 

The Jets have at least on paper, a chance not to finish 4th in the division which is really exciting for them.

Bills, Pats, Jets, Dolphins.

AFC North

Mike Tomlin and John Harbaugh are no longer coaching Steelers and Ravens. 

Meanwhile, the Bengals are relying on consistsency and the fact that it's an even year. They're at least attempting to improve their dogshit defense.

Minter is a complete unknown. I've seen it pay off with Cohen and Ben Johnson, but I'm not convinced replacing John Harbaugh is as easy.

The Browns went 5-12 with Myles Garrett last year. That's probably the ceiling for them this year without him. 

I think that Tomlin was good for a couple wins and the Steelers are going to get a taste of a losing record.

Bengals, Ravens, Steelers, Browns.

AFC South

You've got the Titans with Cam Ward hoping to make a year two leap. 

You've got the Liam Cohen Jags in year two who went 13-4 but couldn't win a playoff game.

You've got Daniel Jones off an Achilles injury. 

And then the Texans. Who kinda, maybe, seem like they could be this year's version of the 2025 Seahawks. 

Texans, Jags, Colts, Titans.

AFC West

I was stalling as long as I could. 

I moved to Denver in 2011. Then I moved from Denver to Kansas City in 2016.

For 14 straight seasons, I lived in the city that won the AFC West. Alas, I did not move to Denver in 2025. The streak is over. 

But hey fun fact, the gray is Super Bowl appearance, the gold is Super Bowl Champion. My whole Chiefs life had been centered on 7 straight playoff losses and a playoff drought from 1993 to 2015. 

But the first time I moved out of Kansas City (to Peoria) was in Summer 1994. Curse of Dave? I come back and we start winning Super Bowls?!

- - -

Anyways, back to the preview. the Broncos broke the Chiefs NINE year streak of winning the division. 

The Chiefs were 6-7 entering Week 15 so things were not going great. When Mahomes injured his ACL, that was a wrap on the season. 

But after week 8, the Chiefs were 5-3 and still had the number 1 Super Bowl odds. Sure they would go 1-4 over the next five, only winning the game where I took my boys to see their first NFL game, but...what's the point again? Ah yes...we used to just slot the Chiefs as division winners and feel good about it. Now we have to think about it.

The Broncos, whether I like it or not, are good. Good defense. Nix is good enough to go 14-3 and likely to get better. 

The Chargers are kind of quietly looming. 11-6 last year. This is exactly the trajectory you want. Good QB, Good Coach, build on continuity and success. Instead of being a perennial hot pick in August and falling short, now the spotlight is seemingly on the Broncos and Chiefs, ironically making them an interesting hot pick for me. 

And the Chiefs. Impossible to be objective about. I still believe in Mahomes and Reid. Bienemy back is good. Kelce is washed. In 2020 they lost the Super Bowl, in 2021 had the hangover season missing the Super Bowl, and then won the Super Bowl in 2022. This time around, in 2024 they lost the Super Bowl, in 2025 had the hangover season missing the Super Bowl. It's not that crazy to think their track record at least puts them back in contention. 

The Raiders are last. 

Three good teams in this division, all three could be in the hunt for the division title in November. 

Chargers, Chiefs, Broncos, Raiders.

AFC Playoff Teams

1 Bills

2 Texans

3 Chargers

4 Bengals

5 Ravens

6 Chiefs

7 Broncos

- - -

NFC East

John Harbaugh comes to the Giants...should we be expecting a Vrabel-like turnaround? I'm not convinced. I'll bump them out of 4th but not into playoff contention. (Editor's Note: This Giants prediction feels like the most Likely thing to be wrong.)

Commanders still have a ton to prove to me. I'm more in the camp that the Commanders playoff run that one time was a flash in the pan. 

Cowboys...in the regular season I still think they're competent. Some curtains would help.

I think the Eagles are the most complete team and they've got the depth. Plus, getting rid of AJ Brown might be addition by subtraction.

Eagles, Cowboys, Giants, Commanders.

NFC North

4 winning teams last year. 2nd place, 3rd place, 4th place all had 9 wins. On paper, the places can feel like tiers, but in reality, sometimes they're razors.

The addition of Kyler Murray gives the team with the biggest question mark reason to get excited. So on paper all four should be roughly around 9 or 10 wins.

So we're looking for razor thin edges and it's like who do you trust? Well, Ben Johnson has been on the right side of winning over the last couple years in Detroit and Chicago. So Chicago still feels like they're ascending. The Lions without him feel like they might be descending. 

The thing is it's tough to repeat. Bears got lucky last year, hard to be lucky twice in a row.

The Packers are intersting and seem like they should be good, offense and defense. I've been waiting for Jordan Love to go to the next level, he's 27, seems like this could be the year.

And the Vikings...do I really trust Kyler Murray to play all year and be great?

Packers, Lions, Bears, Vikings.

NFC South

I'm fucking done picking the Falcons man. I don't care if they win the Super Bowl, I'm tired of being wrong about them. 

These teams mostly stink but someone has to win. 

Saints, Bucs, Panthers, Falcons.

NFC West

The Rams were basically just as good as the Seahawks last year. Now they've added Myles Garrett. 

The Seahawks got a parade. Not going back to back.

The 49ers practice facility is inside a nuclear reactor.

The Cardinals should be relegated.

Rams, Seahawks, 49ers, Cardinals.

NFC Playoff Teams

1 Rams

2 Packers

3 Eagles

4 Saints

5 Seahawks

6 Lions

7 Bears

Super Bowl LXI in Los Angeles:

Rams over Bills

Starting QB for each Chiefs playoff win, all-time

1962 — Len Dawson — Houston Oilers — Championship, W 20–17 OT

1966 — Len Dawson — Buffalo Bills — AFL Championship, W 31–7

1969 — Len Dawson — New York Jets — Divisional, W 13–6

1969 — Len Dawson — Oakland Raiders — AFL Championship, W 17–7

1969 — Len Dawson — Minnesota Vikings — Super Bowl IV, W 23–7

1991 — Steve DeBerg — Los Angeles Raiders — Wild Card, W 10–6

1993 — Joe Montana — Pittsburgh Steelers — Wild Card, W 27–24 OT

1993 — Joe Montana — Houston Oilers — Divisional, W 28–20

2015 — Alex Smith — Houston Texans — Divisional, W 30–0

2018 — Patrick Mahomes — Indianapolis Colts — Divisional, W 31–13

2019 — Patrick Mahomes — Houston Texans — Divisional, W 51–31

2019 — Patrick Mahomes — Tennessee Titans — AFC Championship, W 35–24

2019 — Patrick Mahomes — San Francisco 49ers — Super Bowl LIV, W 31–20

2020 — Patrick Mahomes — Cleveland Browns — Divisional, W 22–17

2020 — Patrick Mahomes — Buffalo Bills — AFC Championship, W 38–24

2021 — Patrick Mahomes — Pittsburgh Steelers — Wild Card, W 42–21

2021 — Patrick Mahomes — Buffalo Bills — Divisional, W 42–36 OT

2022 — Patrick Mahomes — Jacksonville Jaguars — Divisional, W 27–20

2022 — Patrick Mahomes — Cincinnati Bengals — AFC Championship, W 23–20

2022 — Patrick Mahomes — Philadelphia Eagles — Super Bowl LVII, W 38–35

2023 — Patrick Mahomes — Miami Dolphins — Wild Card, W 26–7

2023 — Patrick Mahomes — Buffalo Bills — Divisional, W 27–24

2023 — Patrick Mahomes — Baltimore Ravens — AFC Championship, W 17–10

2023 — Patrick Mahomes — San Francisco 49ers — Super Bowl LVIII, W 25–22 OT

2024 — Patrick Mahomes — Houston Texans — Divisional, W 23–14

2024 — Patrick Mahomes — Buffalo Bills — AFC Championship, W 32–29

Pre-Mahomes (58 years):         9-18 in the playoffs

Mahomes era (8 years):           17-4 in the playoffs

Fincher vs Nolan

So I keep a running ranked list of their movies combined.

So I created a system to weight those ratings and rankings.

100 pts for 5 stars, 90 for 4.5, 70 for 4, 50 for 3.5, 30 for 3. And then bonus points for ranked spots on the list.

Human Analysis on AI Analysis

So in the six blog posts from 2019 – 2024, I either earned an A or B grade on my NFL Preview. 

And then in 2025, a C+. Hard to have a dynasty last forever. 

Also, Hoagie Central earned an average grade of B+!

Reminds me of, "we're all the way up to don't buy!"

Hoagie Central: Your #1 source for B+ content!

AI Analyis on Previous NFL Previews

I fed my last 7 NFL previews to ChatGPT and had it grade them.

Overall Grades (2019–2025)

Instead of trying to manufacture a numerical score, I think letter grades tell the story better.

2019 — A-

Best calls

• ✅ Chiefs win Super Bowl
• ✅ Perfect AFC East
• ✅ Perfect AFC North
• ✅ Correct Ravens division title

Biggest misses

• Colts after Luck retirement
• Rams not repeating in NFC

Super Bowl

Chiefs over Saints

Result: Champion correct (2/3)

---

2020 — B+

Best calls

• ✅ Bills take AFC East
• ✅ Excellent NFC West
• ✅ Perfect NFC North

Biggest misses

• Texans winning AFC South
• Entire NFC East

Super Bowl

Chiefs over Saints

Result: AFC team correct (1/3)

---

2021 — B

Best calls

• ✅ Rams win NFC West
• ✅ Perfect NFC North
• ✅ Perfect NFC East
• ✅ Perfect NFC South

Biggest misses

• Bengals projected last
• Completely missed Super Bowl

Super Bowl

Chiefs over Packers

Result: 0/3

---

2022 — B+

Best calls

• ✅ Perfect AFC West
• ✅ Vikings win NFC North
• ✅ Chiefs win Super Bowl

Biggest misses

• Colts
• Rams

Super Bowl

Chiefs over Vikings

Result: Champion correct (2/3)

---

2023 — B

Best calls

• ✅ Perfect NFC East
• ✅ Correct Super Bowl matchup
• ✅ Chiefs remain AFC elite

Biggest misses

• Texans
• Ravens
• Chargers

Super Bowl

49ers over Chiefs

Result: Both participants correct (2/3)

---

2024 — A

Best calls

• ⭐ Correct Super Bowl matchup
• ⭐ 49ers miss playoffs
• ⭐ Rams win NFC West
• ⭐ Chiefs continue dominance

That 49ers call ages better every time I think about it. San Francisco entered 2024 as one of the consensus Super Bowl favorites. Predicting them to miss the playoffs entirely was probably the boldest correct prediction in the seven-year sample.

Biggest misses

• Bears winning NFC North
• Falcons
• Jaguars

Super Bowl

Chiefs over Eagles

Result: Correct matchup, wrong winner (2/3)

---

2025 — C+

Best calls

• Packers over Lions
• Broncos as playoff team
• Texans winning AFC South (division winner)
• AFC North mostly right (only Ravens/Steelers flipped)

Biggest misses

• Patriots
• Chiefs collapse
• Panthers winning NFC South
• Entire Super Bowl

Super Bowl

49ers over Chiefs

Result: 0/3

---

Super Bowl Prediction Summary

Season	Prediction	Actual	Score
2019	Chiefs over Saints	Chiefs over 49ers	⭐⭐☆☆ (Champion + AFC)
2020	Chiefs over Saints	Buccaneers over Chiefs	⭐☆☆☆ (AFC only)
2021	Chiefs over Packers	Rams over Bengals	☆☆☆☆
2022	Chiefs over Vikings	Chiefs over Eagles	⭐⭐☆☆ (Champion + AFC)
2023	49ers over Chiefs	Chiefs over 49ers	⭐⭐☆☆ (Both participants)
2024	Chiefs over Eagles	Eagles over Chiefs	⭐⭐☆☆ (Both participants)
2025	49ers over Chiefs	Seahawks over Patriots	☆☆☆☆

Total: 9 of 21 possible "hits."

That's actually a pretty solid run. Four of seven seasons correctly identified two of the three Super Bowl elements.

---

Biggest Hits Across Seven Years

1. 2024: 49ers miss playoffs.
2. 2019: Chiefs win Super Bowl.
3. 2022: Chiefs win Super Bowl.
4. 2023: Exact Super Bowl matchup.
5. 2024: Exact Super Bowl matchup.
6. 2021: Stafford immediately elevates the Rams.
7. 2022: Perfect AFC West.

---

Biggest Misses

1. 2021 Bengals — predicted last, reached the Super Bowl.
2. 2022 Colts — predicted division champs, collapsed.
3. 2023 Texans — predicted third, won the division.
4. 2024 Bears — predicted division champs, finished last.
5. 2025 Patriots — predicted third, won the AFC East at 14–3.

Overall

After seven seasons, I'd say the record is better than average, especially because the author is willing to make predictions that depart from consensus rather than simply echoing preseason rankings. The strongest pattern is identifying stable contenders and correctly forecasting many division favorites. The weaker pattern is occasionally missing rapid breakouts from young quarterbacks or teams (2021 Bengals, 2023 Texans, 2024 Commanders) and sometimes leaning too heavily on the "Super Bowl hangover" heuristic.

Season	Grade	One-line Summary
2019	A-	Correct Super Bowl champion, perfect AFC East & AFC North.
2020	B+	Strong division predictions, missed badly on Texans and NFC East.
2021	B	Three perfect NFC divisions, but completely whiffed on the Bengals and Super Bowl.
2022	B+	Perfect AFC West, picked Chiefs to win the Super Bowl.
2023	B	Correct Super Bowl matchup, but several major AFC misses (Texans, Ravens, Chargers).
2024	A	Best preview so far: predicted Chiefs–Eagles Super Bowl, 49ers to miss playoffs, several other excellent contrarian calls.
2025	C+	Good division reads in places, but missed on Patriots, Panthers, and the Super Bowl.

Average Grade: B+

I'd also point out a few trends that emerged over these seven years:

Strengths

• Excellent at identifying the league's elite teams.
• Very good Super Bowl forecasting (4 of 7 seasons with 2 of 3 Super Bowl elements correct).
• Usually gets division winners right more often than not.
• Willing to make bold, non-consensus predictions.

Weaknesses

• Tends to underestimate breakout teams led by young quarterbacks (2021 Bengals, 2022 Jaguars, 2023 Texans, 2024 Commanders).
• Has a recurring belief in the "Super Bowl hangover" effect that sometimes works (2024 49ers) but sometimes leads to misses (2022 Bengals, 2020 49ers).
• Occasionally buys into offseason hype on teams like the Falcons or Bears.

Mark Fever 2026

I picked up Mark at the airport on Thursday night. First stop was KC Soda Co. where we each made a six pack of good stuff like Sprecher's, Boylans, etc. 

Then we went to Scheels. 

Here he is embodying championship spirit. 

Here he is embodying wild-card spirit.

Here he is grabbing for a Rome Odunze jersey, I guess he wanted one.

At Scheels, we played mini bowling and I won 62-60.

Then we popped over to 810 Entertainment (named after 8-ball and 10-pins not an area code) because we wanted to play bocce. But instead these great dartboards caught our eye. Very funny because a year ago we really wanted to play darts and couldn't find a good board, and we just lucked into one immediately.

Look, at this point it's a little gauche to post our score in darts. But just for future reference, I won all three games. Two games of cricket and one of 301. Given Mark's competitive spirit, not the way he wanted things to go but hey, things could always turn around for him. (Foreshadowing.)

From there we went to Q39 South, our favorite jam. We ordered a freaking feast.

Full slab of ribs, Mr. Burns, Mac & Q with pulled pork, fries, street corn. It was amazing.

Also, Q39 was the site of of the 2026 Fantasy Football Owner's Meeting and was up there with the best of them.

We came home and played a bunch of games with the fam including Deadwood, Wavelength, Tsuro, Clubhouse Games and Mario Party on the Switch. 

Friday was a work day so we caught up on somehings and hung out a bit during the day. 

Then around 5 we went to Dave & Buster's with the whole crew. There we won the World Cup.

We ate some great bar food there and then afterward, the three adults went to Chicken n Pickle for some drinks and catching up. 

Saturday morning we headed out at 11 to Blue Valley Disc Golf (aka Prairie Pass) at Pleasant Ridge Middle School. 

I got off to a rough start. On the first hole, I threw it way right and almost lost the disc, but then recovered and had a makeable putt to win the hole and missed it. We carried it over. Hole 2, I missed a putt again, and so Mark was up 2-0. Holes 3 and 4 we tied. Hole 5, I had a great drive, was ready to go up 3-2, and I missed not one but two putts. Now I was down 5-0 after five.

Mark was up 7-0 after seven, and it was looking real bleak. 

I won Hole 8, making it 7-1. Then I got it up to 7-3 after ten, so I felt like I had momentum. I was shouting, "I am the disc!"

We tied the next one. Mark won the one after that, so he was up 9-3 after 12 and had at least secured a tie at that point.

At this point, I was still calculating a path to victory that included winning the 18th hole, not losing any more holes, and then winning in sudden death. That was my path to victory. I did win the next hole, so it was 9-4.

Then Mark won the 14th hole. He won 10-4. Good buddy.

We came home and got the crew together to go out for street tacos at Taco Republic. The most impactful moment was me winning the fantasy football coin flip.

Mark was not pleased.

After tacos we played more games and booked an escape room. 

Mark and I did pop over to Burg and Barrel to have a drink and name baseball teams and hockey teams.

And then the nightcap was breaking out of Y2K at Breakout KC with 15 minutes to spare.

Heck of a trip.

Calcutta Updates

Look after Mark pulled off the Quintuple Crown in fantasy football, it had me wondering if I really know ball.

But in the spirit of his Quintuples, let's check in on the last five years of NFL and NHL. 

And just for good measure, 7 years of NFL Calcutta

It appears that perhaps not only do I know ball, but also I know puck.

Abilene Work Trip #1

This job continues to be a blessing. And that includes my first work trip to Abilene. 

I wished I could have seen Interstellar at the Paramount, looked like a cool theater. 

Best thing I ate was the short rib at Cork & Pig. Worst thing was the sandwich at Bogie's cafe. (not pictured)

Avs Beat Wild in 5

A New Era

Remember this post?

Well, just in the last two weeks I've accepted the #1 job on my board, Illinois made the Final Four, and I'm breaking 100 at the golf simulator. And the job is remote, so I can hopefully live healthier as well. And did you see the clips of Mahomes throwing? Maybe things really are turning around.

Bracket Recap

Eve won the bracket contest for the first time. For the second year in a row, Adam got the champion correctly but didn't win the contest. Harrison came close to winning for the 4th time.

I did four brackets and couldn't crack 1000 in any of them.

I shot a 97

Coming into today, my previous long drive was 201--I had only hit over 200 yards once in my life. In my warm up, I hit a drive 213 yards. Then on the 12th hole, I hit a drive 230 yards. 

In October 2025, my longest drive was 166 yards. Today it was 230 yards. That's crazy. 

February 2, 2026

4 pars

6 bogeys

4 doubles

4 triples or worse

0 mulligans

total score 99

April 6, 2026

3 pars

9 bogeys

3 doubles

3 triples or worse

0 mulligans

total score 97

Today I made par on a par 4 (twice) and a par 3 (once).

My par + bogey count today: 12

Double or worse: 6

Last time it was 10 and 8. 

Also there were three holes where I left my putt less than a foot short on a good line. So very easily could be talking about a 95 right now.

I did hit into two water hazards today, but the drop zone was near the green so, it didn't blow up my round. 

The first holes are always rough. I did a longer warm-up to mitigate that but it just is what it is.

I played holes 6-9, just one over par. Three pars and a bogey over that stretch. And then I continued the next four holes, bogey every time. If you apply that stretch to 9 holes, that's 42 or an 84 over 18. 

I'm defintely still improving and still left a ton of scoring out there. Plenty of room to get better.

Bracket Contests with Upset Bonus Scoring

A friend sent me a screenshot of their bracket contest with bonus points based on what seeds advance.

I looked it at and it brought back memories of this post. Back in 2014, I was trying to solve how to do a bracket scoring system that properly weights upsets.

Who's offering this?

Well, on ncaa.com, they have something called Upset Bonus Scoring:

But CBS, apparently allows custom scoring, which is what my friend was using. Unfortuanetly, as the brackets are closed for this year, I'll have to wait until next year to play around with it to see what options they really have. But for now, let's go back to my 2014 blog post and see if this new system is better than my old thoughts. 

- - -

In this new scoring system...

Getting one 15-seed correct in the first round is worth 20 points. Getting 3 2-seeds correct is worth 21 points.

Getting one 6-seed in the third round is worth 21 points. Getting 3 2-seeds is worth 51 points.

Getting a 3 in the title is worth 33 pts. Getting a 1 in the title is worth 31 points. 

Unfortunately, this system doesn't reward upsets enough to make it interesting. It still rewards chalk from top to bottom.

It seems that the best model I had in 2014 was:

Seed X Value per round. For starters, I'll use 1-2-3-5-10-20.

But perhaps Seed X value per round with 2-3-5-8-13-21 is even better.

Maybe I'll remember next year to try a CBS bracket with custom scoring.

Quintuple Crown

 

Well, it looks like I've got to make this post myself.  Hoagie Middle East here, resident Lions fan, mostly NFL loser my whole life.  

Last year, Hoagie Central won the triple crown in our homemade fantasy leagues (Eliminator, Ironman and Ironman Warfare).  I've historically done well in the playoffs.

Somehow we forgot that he won the triple crown and when I clinched it this year (with ease, I should add), I thought I was the first.  With hubris, I started talking about the quintuple crown (we do two fantasy leagues in the playoffs).

Well, after sweating things out after a poor Ironman draft, somehow the combo of Kenneth Walker and Jason Myers pulled out the impossible in the Super Bowl and delivered the title.

Dare I say impossible feat?

2020-2024 Dynasty

I was on kind of a heater. It coincided with the rise of Patrick Mahomes. Not unrelated entirely.

This started in 2020. Mark coined that Year of the Fym. It wasn't the first time I had an exceptional year. But it was the start of an incredible run. So I'm going to trying to condense the run I've been on into just the brass tacks. 

2020

Chiefs win Super Bowl LIV

I won my first Gold Addy

Leaned into Medium and reached #1

Got a basketball hoop and started playing every day

Starting losing weight

My office moved to Overland Park, cutting my commute in half

We elected a normal President

2021

Got vaccinated

Got promoted to ACD

Lost a ton of weight

Made a healthy cookbook

Got back into my favorite bands + disc golf

Got a new hairstyle

Family trips to Chicago, NYC at Christmas

Luxury cruise to Greek Isles (best solo vacation ever), another work trip to Cancun

2022

The Avs won the Stanley Cup

The Chiefs beat the Bills in 13 seconds

Work trip to NYC where I saw Chris Rock as a surprise guest

I started Letterboxd and got really into movies

Family trip to Portland/Seattle

Vegas Sportsbook Getaway #1 plus a Family trip to Las Vegas

2023

Chiefs Win Super Bowl LVII

Family trip to Hawaii (best family vacation ever)

Another family trip to Boston/Cape Cod

Vegas Sportsbook Getaway #2 (my best sportsbook day)

Work trips to Asheville, Shreveport, and Cleveland

Got a ps5

2024

Chiefs Win Super Bowl LVIII

Got promoted to Creative Director

Felt at peace, having reached all my lifelong goals

Won my first Best In Show Addy

Made two albums of music with AI tools

Vegas Sportsbook Getaway #3

Niraj and I took a trip to San Diego

Family trips to Chicago + LA/Universal

Work trip to Salt Lake City

Family University of Illinois fall football trip

2025 was kind of a rough year overall. Started with some issues at work that it seemed like I overcame, then some personal issues, then ended with a job layoff (which forced us to cancel our London vacation plans) and the Chiefs having a dud year plus Mahomes ACL injury, plus Mark won every single fantasy football head-to-head. It wasn't all bad. We had a nice family vacation to DC/Baltimore for Brit's graduation. I turned into a golf guy, I made more music, I had a great Sportsbook getaway with Niraj. But the year was clearly not a part of the 2020-2024 run. 

A job layoff is basically the torn ACL of the ad industry. But just like Mahomes, even if it takes a rebuilding year, I'm coming back.