Monday, August 31, 2020

My Medium Journey

In May 2016, I wanted to start a site like Grantland or The Onion. Professional, long-form pieces meant for public consumption. Something different from the personal, short blog posts on Hoagie Central that often only make sense if you know me personally. 

At that point, I had written Autopilot in 2008-09 and Pie for Breakfast in 2013. Something in me was pushing me to write more, but another book didn't seem like the right thing. It takes a long time and the payoff isn't there, both financially and somewhat emotionally—at least, that payoff is quite delayed. 

Compared to writing another book, the idea of putting up shorter pieces, humor pieces, each on a different topic appealed to me. So I emailed my friends and asked for advice on naming the new site. 



Niraj suggested Medium as the home for my new site. I took a look and was hooked. By the next day I started publishing pieces. 

I put up a bunch of stuff in 2016 on Medium. I wrote pieces in styles I had never explored before. It was very fulfilling. And due to Medium having a built-in audience, people were reading my articles. That was fun and exciting, and also foreign territory. 

One thing that was very eye-opening and unexpected, was that I could get a real sense of what kinds of things people were interested in reading. And throughout the fall of 2016, the articles that did the best were the political humor pieces. The Trump election season was top of mind, and those pieces rose to the top. 

Based on these results, I developed an idea for my next book in January 2017, just as Trump was taking office. A choose your own adventure book. I stepped away from Medium and spent my writing time in 2017 creating Choose Your Own Trump. 

Once I walked away from Medium, it was hard to get back to it. Part of it I think is that after writing a book, I need a break from writing. I kept up with Hoagie Central. The Chiefs drafted Mahomes so that demanded my full attention. I also got fired and had to get a new job. And then once I got a new job, that required my undivided attention. 

Every week, Medium kept emailing me stats for the week. And they were always the same:


This humor piece about the lovemaking skills of Greek Gods continued to do well every week. (By 2020, it had amassed over 4000 views.) And one day in January 2020, I finally noticed that little line underneath the +17. "Enroll in the Medium Partner Program to earn money for your stories." I signed up thinking, this article is getting views every week, a couple thousand a year, let's see what that's worth. If it brings in any passive income, that's fine by me. 

January, February, March, this story kept getting views and earned exactly zero cents. I (wrongly) concluded that the only way to earn even a penny was massive amounts of views. As it turns out, Medium pays writers for Member reading time and Member claps. (To read beyond the paywall of 5 stories a month, you have to be a paying Medium member, which costs $50 a year.) But I didn't know that yet. So I gave up any idea that Medium could make any money, even a few dollars. 

Then Covid-19 came. Our school went virtual for the year. The NBA, NHL and March Madness all got cancelled. People are dying and scared and our President is calling it a hoax. I was reading all these bits and fragments of news and needed a way to process it all. I started writing it down. 

I could have put it on Hoagie Central, but I've tried to keep most of the political thoughts off this space. The exceptions are I'll usually note my views on the Presidential election campaign at least once, mostly as a way to record my views, not persuade others.

So I put up this piece on Medium instead: How We Got Here: Trump, COVID-19 & You

If that's all I had done, nothing would have changed. But I did one more thing. I emailed Niraj.


He proofread my article and found a typo. This is the moment that changed things. I just didn't know it yet. 

At the end of April, I had earned my first money from Medium. For criticizing the 45th President, I earned:




This was the eye-opener. I could actually earn money. The article had only gotten 7 views. I didn't understand yet the bit about the Members. I just concluded that old articles weren't making money—that I had to write new ones. 

Somehow I found an email course from Tom Kuegler that gave me tips for how to succeed on Medium. And in 2016, I wasn't doing ANY of them. One of them, was that you earn money from Members' reading time and claps. So armed with the knowledge that it's possible to earn money and actual tips, I launched a new Medium publication on May 20, 2020. Once again. I went to Niraj for approval on the new name, 40 Fathoms. 

By May 22, I was seeing results from using the tips. And then Niraj reveals something that makes everything click:





Niraj is a green circle. He's a paying Medium Member. So when he proofread my Covid piece back in April, that 45 cents was from him. His reading time and applause gave me my first Medium earnings. Which gave me the confidence to invest energy in trying to earn money. If he wasn't a paying member, I wouldn't have earned any money from his reading time and I never would have known you could make money on this site. 

- - -

I started right at the end of May, so June was my first full month applying what I know and trying to monetize my writing. I earned $20.93 in June. 




In early June, I made a goal. I wrote it down. My goal was to earn $500 in one month in the year 2020. It was ambitious. I didn't quite realize how ambitious yet. 

My thinking was that:
a) Earning $5000 a year would be cool, so if I could get to the point where I was earning about $500 a month that would be great. 
b) This would be a gradual steady climb as I earn more and more followers. $20 in June could turn into $60 in July, $120 in August, etc. to the point where I was earning $500 in December. 

That was the plan. 

And then in July I earned $24.67. I had even published something in the most popular humor site, Slackjaw. It became my most profitable post to date. It earned 6 bucks its first week. 

I saw that in July, 5.8% of Medium writers earned over $100 a month. And I'm on pace for a $30 August. 

So I deleted my $500 in one month goal. I was running out of backlogged content. Medium was about to become a place where I sporadically posted, not lining up a new post every day. I got back into Hoagie Central and was watching sports again. 

- - -

And then on August 12, FiveThirtyEight published their 2020 Presidential Election Forecast. I've been a big fan of 538 for a while. In particular, I think their average of the Trump approval rating paints a much better picture than bouncing from the latest polls, which can skew both directions. 

So I went to their forecast, expecting to see a big map of each state, colored a shade of red or blue, and didn't see one. Instead they had bubbles and snakes and lots of tiny, tiny maps but no one big map. So mainly for my own curiosity, I started processing their forecast. I saw that Biden had a lead but Trump needed a few more states to go his way. So I wrote this piece:


I published it.

August 12 it got 32 views. 
August 13 it got 31 views. 

This was on pace to be a very normal story. After two days, it had earned less than $1.50. 

Then I got an email:




Neat, I thought. This was the 5th time this has happened and all five became popular by my standards, earning anywhere from 2 to 6 bucks. 

August 14 it got 383 views. It earned $9.55 becoming my most profitable story. Cool. 
August 15 it got 1.8K views and earned over $50 that day. 

My previous high for any one story was 33 fans (people that clapped for the story.) On the 15th this story reached 100 fans. I said this is the moneymaker I've dreamed off. When I saw the cumulative total at midnight after the 15th, and saw it had earned $61.09, I was floored. I was happy with $10 bucks. 

I woke up on August 16 and it had gone viral. Usually my Medium account has 2 or 3 notifications overnights of new followers or claps. I had 180 notifications while I was sleeping. And they just keep coming in. 

August 16 was the peak. It got 19.2K views. It earned $320 that day. 

Though the numbers went down from there, it's had a surprisingly decent run in the two weeks since. Each day, that single story has earned at least 25 dollars, far more than any other story. More than all my stories combined in my best month previously. 

Then on August 17, something that I hadn't even dreamed of happening, happened. 

As Mark said, lots of people get married or have kids. How many people get to have the #1 story on Medium?

Here are the numbers at the end of August. 




As of August 12, my most fans on a single piece was 33. This one got 872. My popular post also drove more traffic to all my stories, directly creating my 2nd and 3rd most profitable pieces as well. 




Without it, I was on pace for a $30 August. With it I reached $1243. So even though it says $1132, I consider it a $1213, with 80 bucks coming in driving traffic to others. 

All of a sudden, because of one single thing that I wrote almost on a whim, I became in the top 5% for sure, possibly top 1% of Medium writers in August. I achieved my $500 a month goal that I had just deleted for being too ambitious. I even hit #1, which was never even a goal. 

I had read somewhere that you shouldn't spend all your time writing $10 posts, you should be focused on how to write a $1000 post. The advice cracked me up, because at that point most of my stories earned a dollar, if that. So a $10 post seemed beyond possible. 

And the whole time this was happening, ever since May 22, 2020,  I knew that without Niraj being a member and being my go-to guy for editing, none of this would have happened. 

It was only in writing this post, that I realized Niraj was the one who referred me to Medium in the first place, way back in 2016. 

And it was just now that I realized, his first email where I found out about Medium, was also on May 22 in 2016. 

Downright spooky. 

- - -

Beyond the money, I'm very thankful for my entire journey on Medium. It was the 2016 run that led me to write Choose Your Own Trump. And this 2020 run has led me to write an entire library of new posts. New humor pieces, new interactive detective stories, new political stories. I have a site that looks like a Grantland or The Ringer or The Onion, full of stories that I'm proud of. 


Getting claps, earning money, and reaching #1 on Medium makes my ego happy. 

For the two to be aligned, makes each one even better. 

(For most of my life, these goals have always been separate. The things I've created have not found traditional success, and the traditional success I've found be it through work awards, paychecks or even winning fantasy/Calcutta sports, have not been connected to the art I've created.)

That's why this means so much to me. It's not about the actual money being a life-changing amount of money. But earning $5 from a story that gets a couple hundred views and 20 claps feels better than getting a much larger amount of money as a Christmas gift. So when I look back at these results, it's hard to wrap my head around how exciting it is. 

- - - 

The first takeaway is that Niraj is awesome and I owe him beers for quite a while. I could buy him a beer a week for a year and I would still be indebted to him for all the conversations and help he has provided along this journey. 

The second is that I am incredibly lucky. As it turned out, this 5 States post was over a $1000 post. But it so easily could have been a $2 post. If Medium curators passed on it, it would have been. They've curated other stories that maxed out at 3 bucks. 

So somehow it was the right combination of headline, picture, ending and an incredibly fortuitous decision by Medium to curate it. I'm still not sure how exactly people saw it so much. 


I think about this a lot. In sports, championship-winning athletes put in a MASSIVE amount of hard work. It's easy to point to them holding a trophy and saying, look at how all their hard work paid off. But what that ignores is that there are thousands of other athletes who are also putting in massive amounts of hard work and coming up short. 

The same applies across every category of entertainment and any other field you can think of. Hard work is a requirement for success. But so is luck. 

I could have published the same exact story, but if the curator who stumbled upon my piece had been in a worse mood, or had to go to the bathroom, or leave work early, they might have passed on mine. And I'd be sitting here with a $30 August. 

- - -

The funny thing is that this one piece is not my favorite piece. It's not even in the top ten. If I could have gotten the same results for something else, I would picked a humor piece or maybe the second detective case. But you don't get to pick. And I'm definitely not complaining. 

Monday, August 24, 2020

 I remember back in 2011 and 2012 and then again in 2015, that the Chiefs season would fall apart and then I would switch my attention to the Avalanche. 

Well now it's late August and the NHL Playoffs are somehow still happening...and it's time to turn the tables. The Avs have dropped the first two games of the series against the Stars and while the series isn't over yet, it looks real bad. 

But hey, hard to be too upset about sports in a year when the Chiefs won the Super Bowl. 

Thursday, August 20, 2020

Fall Guys

Fall Guys takes the popular battle royale format of 1 winner and applied it to a game in the style of Wipeout/American Ninja Warrior. Each match starts with 60 players and eliminates players every round. This was Harrison's run from earlier today.

 

Wednesday, August 19, 2020

Avs Advance

After the third Avalanche goal in Game 5, Coyotes goalie Darcy Kuemper turned around and shattered his goalie stick against his own net. It was the first period. 

- - -

Through the luck of the seeding draw, the Avs as the #2 seed got to face the team with the 11th best record in the West. There's currently 15 teams in the West, with Seattle Kraken set to join in 2021-22. This was a mismatch on paper and it played out like one. 

In 5 games this series:

Avalanche: 22 goals  

Coyotes: 8 goals


Arizona found themselves on the wrong end of a German Brazilian. Twice. 



The Avs are out shooting, out scoring and in three out of five games allowed 1 or fewer goals. 

Next up: Dallas Stars.

Thursday, August 13, 2020

More Medium Stats

Another peek behind the curtain. Choose Your Own Trump went up on August 4 and has been doing well. 





Claps have been coming regularly, with two days of double digit clappers in a row. 



I'm pretty much out of already written content to put up, except for my novel. Which I could wait until after the election and Choose Your Own Trump is old news. Or I could pull the trigger sooner. We'll see. 


Personal Playoff Records

 One of my teams won a playoff game yesterday. That's awesome. The first time that ever happened was in April 2014. Though it seems it's been happening more recently. 

I'm going to go back to the year 2001 and look at the playoff records combined. I'll even through in Illinois Basketball and Illinois Football. I'll count March Madness games and Bowl Games, even though they're not technically playoff games. Unfortunately, I can't count Avs until 2011 when I moved to Colorado and became a fan. And I can't count Illinois until fall 2001, so no 2001 march madness tournament. I will go by calendar year, using the date the game was played. 

2001: 0-0

2002: 2-2 (Illinois basketball 2-1, Illinois football 0-1)

2003: 1-1 (Illinois basketball 1-1)

2004: 2-2 (Illinois basketball 2-1, Chiefs 0-1)

2005: 5-1 (Illinois basketball 5-1)

2006: 1-1 (Illinois basketball 1-1)

2007: 0-2 (Illinois basketball 0-1, Chiefs 0-1)

2008: 0-1 (Illinois football 0-1)

2009: 0-1 (Illinois basketball 0-1)

2010: 1-0 (Illinois football 1-0)

2011: 2-2 (Illinois football 1-0, Illinois basketball 1-1, Chiefs 0-1)

2012: 0-0

2013: 1-1 (Illinois basketball 1-1)

2014: 3-6 (Avs 3-4, Illinois football 0-1, Chiefs 0-1)

2015: 0-0

2016: 1-1 (Chiefs 1-1)

2017: 0-1 (Chiefs 0-1)

2018: 2-5 (Avs 2-4, Chiefs 0-1)

2019: 8-7 (Avs 7-5, Chiefs 1-1, Illinois football 0-1)

2020: 4-0 (Chiefs 3-0, Avs 1-0 and counting)


Pretty wild to see how bad Chiefs were before Mahomes and what a difference he's made. Illinois basketball really fell off a cliff. 

If instead I used playoff series in hockey and only used BCS bowls, the numbers would look even worse. 


Monday, August 10, 2020

NHL Bracket Is Out

 




Appreciation. Gratitude. Hoop.


It's so nice having a hoop in the backyard. I can just go out for 10 minutes here, 20 minutes there. About a week ago there was a 70 degree evening, no humidity, cool breeze, just perfect. Unheard of in August in the Midwest. 


The gratitude of achieving all I'd ever wanted, a healthy baby in my arms after getting a job that allowed us to move to Colorado. 

And now here I am, 9 years later, in a much different situation feeling that same level of gratitude. 

The world is going through extreme levels of crisis and upheaval and I have to just take some time and appreciate how lucky I am. 

To have two wonderful, healthy children. 
To once again be married to the love of my life.
To have a career that I enjoy.
To have a great house in a great city where this year I got to attend a Super Bowl parade. 
To have gained a sense of my personal purpose and fulfillment, and have the means to indulge my creative pursuits.


In a world full of injustices and a year full of tragedies, it's impossible to reduce everything down to "life is good."

I'm just trying to appreciate every day and try to not take any of these incredible things for granted.

Sunday, August 09, 2020

My Playoff History with the Avs

I moved from Chicago to Denver nine years ago. Without ever having a hockey team but always loving the sport, the Avalanche were the one Colorado team I adopted. 

I bought a hat, starting blogging and went to my first game at the Pepsi Center in November 2011. 

This season (2019-20) is the 9th season for me of being an Avs fan. 


In the first six seasons, they only made one playoff appearance in 2013-2014. 

Game 1 of the series was probably the best game as an Avs fan that I've ever watched. It was also the first playoff game I've ever seen any of my teams win. 

In Game 5, the Avs had to put their balls on the table.

And then for Game 7, for the first time ever, Mrs. Hoagie Central went with me out to a sports bar so we could watch a game together with a crowd around us. And we got a Game 7 in overtime, just didn't go our way.


- - -

Now they've made it to the playoffs three seasons in a row. 


In the 2018 playoffs they were outmatched by the #1 seed Predators, but still produced some great moments. We got this radio call which is still incredible and this snippet from Hoagie Central:

"The fucking Wild are eliminated and have all offseason to do inventory of their zero Stanley Cups. And the Avs have another playoff game."


In the 2019 playoffs I finally got to see the Avs win a playoff series. Down a game, the Avs pulled their goalie in game 2, and ending up winning off a MacKinnon snipe in OT. Cale Makar makes his NHL debut in a playoff game and scores on his first shot.  

In round 2 against the Sharks, again I got to see the Avs in a Game 7 and again it ended poorly. It sure looked like they tied the game at 2-2 in the second period, but got jobbed.


So here we are, kicking off the 2020 playoffs. Just for fun, here are the conference seeds that I've seen the Avs have in the playoffs: 

2014: 2nd

2018: 8th

2019: 8th

2020: 2nd


This is as good as team as I've gotten to see. But of course, this is no normal season. There's no fans, no home ice, this Colorado-Arizona series will be played in Edmonton. And instead of a 2-seed facing a 7-seed, the Avs are facing the team with the 11th best record in the conference. 

(For future Dave, this was the Covid Cup where there were play-in series and round robins. Both the 12-seed and 11-seed teams made the playoffs.)

Love the first round matchup, love the talent on this team. The only X-factor is a million unknowns of how playoffs will go on neutral ice with no fans.

Last time there were the #2 seed in the West, they got beat in 7 by the Wild. So anything can happen. But at least we know the Wild can't beat us this year. 

(Because they're done. Plus, they're probably thirsty without any cups.)

Friday, August 07, 2020

Fortnite? Fortnite.

A couple weeks ago, my youngest asked to get Fortnite. I had never really been interested and if it was expensive, I would have maybe put up more resistance. (I didn't want to start him on violent games, but after looking at it, the game seemed cartoonish enough to not actually be violent.) But it was free, so we tried it out. And it's surprisingly fun for all ages. I can see why it became so popular.

Here was a clean run I had in solo mode. 

   

 Here's a fun highlight where I entered a secret room with two chests from above instead of through the wall like normal. So when someone came in through the wall expecting two chests, they found me instead. (I was a little panicked, but still managed to take care of business.)

 

And here's a great match that we had in Duo mode. I was on top, G was on bottom. I was killed and needed a revive from my son. 

Thursday, August 06, 2020

Fuck You Boncos


Medium Stats

Here's the top ten based on views.

Here's the top ten based on claps. 




Notes

Based on views, 5 were from this year, 5 were from 2016-2018, before they were monetized. 

Based on claps, 8 were from this year, only 2 were from before. 

My top 3 based on claps were all published on other publications. I did have other articles in other publications that didn't get double digit claps, so it's not foolproof. (A fan is a single person that clapped, regardless of how many claps they gave.)

Moron's Guide is by far the most profitable earning $6.35 so far and climbing. 
Understanding of Living Fully has earned $4.91. 

If every post earned about 5 dollars, I would be very satisfied. Alas, they do not. 

Wednesday, August 05, 2020

Medium Graveyard: WebMD

So this was something that I wrote a couple years ago. I was thinking about posting it to Medium, but unfortunately it has aged poorly, due to a little thing called Covid. So here it is.



WebMD Is The Only Healthcare You Need!

Over the last few days I’ve had occasional headaches and was sensitive to bright lights. Like any adult, I’ve had headaches before but never light sensitivity. I googled it to see if there was an easily diagnosed answer.

I get to this page and was immediately like, yes I have also been sensitive to noise lately too.


WebMD, you are amazing! Clearly you have the answer! Let’s see…77 conditions?

So I’ve either had way too much caffeine or not enough caffeine? Well, with all these headaches I haven’t had as much soda. Better have a Coke Zero just to be safe. Or maybe that’s just my concussion talking.

I’m a little young for cataracts, no? And my blisters seem to be confined to the median groinal area and not mouth or hands so that rules out the Coxsackle virus. Diabetes is a strong contender. Vegas has it as 7–2 odds.

Ha ha, nasal polyps, that sounds funny. Holy shit, a stroke? Am I having a stroke right now? This is what a stroke feels like, oh my God. Why am I rushing to post this to Twitter when I’m clearly having a stroke. WebMD, this is getting real dark.


Okay, for real, I appreciate the thoroughness but now it just feels like you’re listing every possible disease or injury possible. This isn’t really helping me narrow it down. Should I take some Tylenol or not?


I swear to God, WebMD you are the worst doctor on earth. Maybe it’s West Nile. Maybe I swallowed my World War II cyanide capsules. Or maybe it’s the goddamn plague.

Yes, I can’t wait to post that I have the plague to Facebook, Tweet it and subscribe for more info.


Oh fuck, there it is. I have bird flu. Why did I make out with all those birds? It seemed like such a good idea at the time. Hindsight is 20/20 and all that I guess.

Monday, August 03, 2020

Covid in Sports

The bubbles are working.

NBA and NHL spent a lot of money and the players have to spend months away from home/family, but it work. And going to Canada was a nice touch too, NHL. 

MLB's plan of let's just play and test is not working. A MLB season is not like an office job where you can just work from home if you get Covid. The Marlins and Cardinals are getting lots of games "postponed" which is affecting tons of other teams too. The Braves have played 10 games. The Marlins have played 3. So have the Phillies.

The NFL is watching this and apparently going, sure this is fine. Let's do what MLB is doing.

And college sports? We know college students are still going to go to bars, not wear masks, etc. College sports have the least chance of anything of happening.

Which is a shame because Illinois is actually really good. Or at least they are on paper. Remains to be seen what college campuses and sports and actually look like.

My advice: better enjoy the NBA and NHL bubble. Who knows what we'll get after this.

MLB Hot Take

If you get a game canceled because you have too many players with Covid, that should count as a loss for you. Should count as no game for your opponent. Sort by winning percentage at the end.

No make-ups. If you Covit, you blow it.