In the year 2030, will the majority of car (passenger) travel be done by human drivers as it is today or by autonomous cars?
I say human drivers. Niraj says autonomous.
Niraj's Point of View:
Accident rates speak for themselves
Self-driving is happening in several states already
The money savings will drive the change
12 years is a long time for technological changes
My Point of View:
Americans are stubborn and stupid
Lawmakers are wary of taking away freedoms
People have an incentive to own and drive their own car
We make emotional, unwise decisions all the time
We both agree that on a long-term scale that autonomous vehicles are the future. The question is will the majority tipping point arrive by 2030? I honestly don't feel super confident one way or another, but think it's interesting and wanted to write it down.
