And then in 2025, a C+. Hard to have a dynasty last forever.
Also, Hoagie Central earned an average grade of B+!
Reminds me of, "we're all the way up to don't buy!"
Hoagie Central: Your #1 source for B+ content!
Monday, August 03, 2026
Human Analysis on AI Analysis
So in the six blog posts from 2019 – 2024, I either earned an A or B grade on my NFL Preview.
And then in 2025, a C+. Hard to have a dynasty last forever.
Also, Hoagie Central earned an average grade of B+!
And then in 2025, a C+. Hard to have a dynasty last forever.
Also, Hoagie Central earned an average grade of B+!
AI Analyis on Previous NFL Previews
I fed my last 7 NFL previews to ChatGPT and had it grade them.
Overall Grades (2019–2025)
Instead of trying to manufacture a numerical score, I think letter grades tell the story better.
2019 — A-
Best calls
- ✅ Chiefs win Super Bowl
- ✅ Perfect AFC East
- ✅ Perfect AFC North
- ✅ Correct Ravens division title
Biggest misses
- Colts after Luck retirement
- Rams not repeating in NFC
Super Bowl
Chiefs over Saints
Result: Champion correct (2/3)
2020 — B+
Best calls
- ✅ Bills take AFC East
- ✅ Excellent NFC West
- ✅ Perfect NFC North
Biggest misses
- Texans winning AFC South
- Entire NFC East
Super Bowl
Chiefs over Saints
Result: AFC team correct (1/3)
2021 — B
Best calls
- ✅ Rams win NFC West
- ✅ Perfect NFC North
- ✅ Perfect NFC East
- ✅ Perfect NFC South
Biggest misses
- Bengals projected last
- Completely missed Super Bowl
Super Bowl
Chiefs over Packers
Result: 0/3
2022 — B+
Best calls
- ✅ Perfect AFC West
- ✅ Vikings win NFC North
- ✅ Chiefs win Super Bowl
Biggest misses
- Colts
- Rams
Super Bowl
Chiefs over Vikings
Result: Champion correct (2/3)
2023 — B
Best calls
- ✅ Perfect NFC East
- ✅ Correct Super Bowl matchup
- ✅ Chiefs remain AFC elite
Biggest misses
- Texans
- Ravens
- Chargers
Super Bowl
49ers over Chiefs
Result: Both participants correct (2/3)
2024 — A
Best calls
- ⭐ Correct Super Bowl matchup
- ⭐ 49ers miss playoffs
- ⭐ Rams win NFC West
- ⭐ Chiefs continue dominance
That 49ers call ages better every time I think about it. San Francisco entered 2024 as one of the consensus Super Bowl favorites. Predicting them to miss the playoffs entirely was probably the boldest correct prediction in the seven-year sample.
Biggest misses
- Bears winning NFC North
- Falcons
- Jaguars
Super Bowl
Chiefs over Eagles
Result: Correct matchup, wrong winner (2/3)
2025 — C+
Best calls
- Packers over Lions
- Broncos as playoff team
- Texans winning AFC South (division winner)
- AFC North mostly right (only Ravens/Steelers flipped)
Biggest misses
- Patriots
- Chiefs collapse
- Panthers winning NFC South
- Entire Super Bowl
Super Bowl
49ers over Chiefs
Result: 0/3
Super Bowl Prediction Summary
| Season | Prediction | Actual | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | Chiefs over Saints | Chiefs over 49ers | ⭐⭐☆☆ (Champion + AFC) |
| 2020 | Chiefs over Saints | Buccaneers over Chiefs | ⭐☆☆☆ (AFC only) |
| 2021 | Chiefs over Packers | Rams over Bengals | ☆☆☆☆ |
| 2022 | Chiefs over Vikings | Chiefs over Eagles | ⭐⭐☆☆ (Champion + AFC) |
| 2023 | 49ers over Chiefs | Chiefs over 49ers | ⭐⭐☆☆ (Both participants) |
| 2024 | Chiefs over Eagles | Eagles over Chiefs | ⭐⭐☆☆ (Both participants) |
| 2025 | 49ers over Chiefs | Seahawks over Patriots | ☆☆☆☆ |
Total: 9 of 21 possible "hits."
That's actually a pretty solid run. Four of seven seasons correctly identified two of the three Super Bowl elements.
Biggest Hits Across Seven Years
- 2024: 49ers miss playoffs.
- 2019: Chiefs win Super Bowl.
- 2022: Chiefs win Super Bowl.
- 2023: Exact Super Bowl matchup.
- 2024: Exact Super Bowl matchup.
- 2021: Stafford immediately elevates the Rams.
- 2022: Perfect AFC West.
Biggest Misses
- 2021 Bengals — predicted last, reached the Super Bowl.
- 2022 Colts — predicted division champs, collapsed.
- 2023 Texans — predicted third, won the division.
- 2024 Bears — predicted division champs, finished last.
- 2025 Patriots — predicted third, won the AFC East at 14–3.
Overall
After seven seasons, I'd say the record is better than average, especially because the author is willing to make predictions that depart from consensus rather than simply echoing preseason rankings. The strongest pattern is identifying stable contenders and correctly forecasting many division favorites. The weaker pattern is occasionally missing rapid breakouts from young quarterbacks or teams (2021 Bengals, 2023 Texans, 2024 Commanders) and sometimes leaning too heavily on the "Super Bowl hangover" heuristic.
| Season | Grade | One-line Summary |
|---|---|---|
| 2019 | A- | Correct Super Bowl champion, perfect AFC East & AFC North. |
| 2020 | B+ | Strong division predictions, missed badly on Texans and NFC East. |
| 2021 | B | Three perfect NFC divisions, but completely whiffed on the Bengals and Super Bowl. |
| 2022 | B+ | Perfect AFC West, picked Chiefs to win the Super Bowl. |
| 2023 | B | Correct Super Bowl matchup, but several major AFC misses (Texans, Ravens, Chargers). |
| 2024 | A | Best preview so far: predicted Chiefs–Eagles Super Bowl, 49ers to miss playoffs, several other excellent contrarian calls. |
| 2025 | C+ | Good division reads in places, but missed on Patriots, Panthers, and the Super Bowl. |
Average Grade: B+
I'd also point out a few trends that emerged over these seven years:
Strengths
- Excellent at identifying the league's elite teams.
- Very good Super Bowl forecasting (4 of 7 seasons with 2 of 3 Super Bowl elements correct).
- Usually gets division winners right more often than not.
- Willing to make bold, non-consensus predictions.
Weaknesses
- Tends to underestimate breakout teams led by young quarterbacks (2021 Bengals, 2022 Jaguars, 2023 Texans, 2024 Commanders).
- Has a recurring belief in the "Super Bowl hangover" effect that sometimes works (2024 49ers) but sometimes leads to misses (2022 Bengals, 2020 49ers).
- Occasionally buys into offseason hype on teams like the Falcons or Bears.
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