picks, locks, sportsbook

i suck it at all.

Dave
Invested: $300
Current: $0

Mark
Invested: $100
Current: $.27

$100 on the Pats again.



I'm 9-6 on locks, with 2 weeks to go. That would put me at 7th in the AFC, which isn't good enough to go to the playoffs.

This week I'm going with Cardinals -10 over Falcons.



Steelers -7.5 over Rams
Panthers +10.5 over Cowboys
Browns -3 over Bengals
Packers -8.5 over Bears
Texans +7 over Colts
Lions -5 over Chiefs
Pats -22 over Fins
Bills +3 over Giants
Jags -13 over Raiders
Eagles +3 over Saints
Vikings -6.5 over Redskins
Cardinals -10 over Falcons
Jets +8.5 over Titans
Bucs -6 over 49ers
Chargers -8.5 over Broncos

Hoagie Central's Giant Fucking Lock of the Week: Week 13

What's the one team that can cover a 20 point spread?

The Pats.

As noted earlier, I'm hoping to make the playoffs, and hope to get a bye by getting a better record than the 2nd place team in the AFC.

Previous GFLW's (8-4)
Week 1: Steelers at -4.5 = Win by 27
Week 2: Bengals at -7 = Lose by 6
Week 3: Chiefs at -2.5 = Win by 3
Week 4: Patriots at -7 = Win by 21
Week 5: Patriots at -16.5 = Win by 17
Week 6: Patriots at -6 = Win by 21
Week 7: Seahawks at -8 = Win by 27
Week 8: Colts at -6.5 = Win by 24
Week 9: Pats at -5.5 = Win by 4
Week 10: Chiefs at -3 = Lose by 16
Week 11: Steelers at -9.5 = Lose by 3
Week 12: Packers at -3 = Win by 11

Hoagie Central's Giant Fucking Lock of the Week: Week 12

Fucking Steelers.

Fine then. If there's one thing that I can count on, it's Brett Favre to show up on Thanksgiving. The Packers never lose and the Lions are falling apart. The Pack covers 3 easy.

Packers -3

Previous GFLW's (7-4)
Week 1: Steelers at -4.5 = Win by 27
Week 2: Bengals at -7 = Lose by 6
Week 3: Chiefs at -2.5 = Win by 3
Week 4: Patriots at -7 = Win by 21
Week 5: Patriots at -16.5 = Win by 17
Week 6: Patriots at -6 = Win by 21
Week 7: Seahawks at -8 = Win by 27
Week 8: Colts at -6.5 = Win by 24
Week 9: Pats at -5.5 = Win by 4
Week 10: Chiefs at -3 = Lose by 16
Week 11: Steelers at -9.5 = Lose by 3

Hoagie Central's Giant Fucking Lock of the Week: Week 11

Fucking Chiefs.

I love to bet against the Sex Cannon, but I'm going with the team that doesn't let me down.

Steelers -9.5 over Jets

Previous GFLW's (7-3)
Week 1: Steelers at -4.5 = Win by 27
Week 2: Bengals at -7 = Lose by 6
Week 3: Chiefs at -2.5 = Win by 3
Week 4: Patriots at -7 = Win by 21
Week 5: Patriots at -16.5 = Win by 17
Week 6: Patriots at -6 = Win by 21
Week 7: Seahawks at -8 = Win by 27
Week 8: Colts at -6.5 = Win by 24
Week 9: Pats at -5.5 = Win by 4
Week 10: Chiefs at -3 = Lose by 16

Hoagie Central's Giant Fucking Lock of the Week: Week 10

I like a lot of teams to cover this week: Chiefs, Titans, Bears, Lions, Colts...but which one has the one that I like the most?

Chiefs -3 over Broncos

The Chiefs are 1-0 in the locks and this is one of those where I just know my team. This team will bounce back. The defense will be ready. This team won't lose back to back at home.


Previous GFLW's (7-2)
Week 1: Steelers at -4.5 = Win by 27
Week 2: Bengals at -7 = Lose by 6
Week 3: Chiefs at -2.5 = Win by 3
Week 4: Patriots at -7 = Win by 21
Week 5: Patriots at -16.5 = Win by 17
Week 6: Patriots at -6 = Win by 21
Week 7: Seahawks at -8 = Win by 27
Week 8: Colts at -6.5 = Win by 24
Week 9: Pats at -5.5 = Win by 4

Hoagie Central's Giant Fucking Lock of the Week: Week 9

The Redskins are looking to bounce back, the Pats are looking to humiliate everyone and the Titans are facing David Carr...

This Week's GFLW: Pats -5.5

I'd love to see the Pats lose, but I don't think it happens, and I think they make sure it's not close at the end either.


Previous GFLW's (7-1)
Week 1: Steelers at -4.5 = Win by 27
Week 2: Bengals at -7 = Lose by 6
Week 3: Chiefs at -2.5 = Win by 3
Week 4: Patriots at -7 = Win by 21
Week 5: Patriots at -16.5 = Win by 17
Week 6: Patriots at -6 = Win by 21
Week 7: Seahawks at -8 = Win by 27
Week 8: Colts at -6.5 = Win by 24

Hoagie Central's Giant Fucking Lock of the Week: Week 8

I hope you've been betting your kid's college tuition on my locks. Your kid just went from Western Illinois to Illinois State. Next stop: Illinois!

This Week's GFLW: Colts -6.5

This is my first time going with the Colts and sure, they could blow it on the road, but I don't think so.

Previous GFLW's (6-1)
Week 1: Steelers at -4.5 = Win by 27
Week 2: Bengals at -7 = Lose by 6
Week 3: Chiefs at -2.5 = Win by 3
Week 4: Patriots at -7 = Win by 21
Week 5: Patriots at -16.5 = Win by 17
Week 6: Patriots at -6 = Win by 21
Week 7: Seahawks at -8 = Win by 27

Hoagie Central's Giant Fucking Lock of the Week: Week 7

Hmmm...Do I ride the Pats again? Do I take the Steelers on the road? Can I count on the Rams to stink that bad?

This Week's GFLW: Seahawks -8

Here's my logic: The Seahawks are at home again, and will look to rebound against the Rams. The Rams stink. Seahawks win by at least 10.

Previous GFLW's (5-1)
Week 1: Steelers at -4.5 = Win by 27
Week 2: Bengals at -7 = Lose by 6
Week 3: Chiefs at -2.5 = Win by 3
Week 4: Patriots at -7 = Win by 21
Week 5: Patriots at -16.5 = Win by 17
Week 6: Patriots at -6 = Win by 21

Hoagie Central's Giant Fucking Lock of the Week: Week 6

This Week's GFLW: Patriots -6

So I'm taking the Patriots three weeks in a row. Does that make me cheap? No, I think it makes me smart. Dallas is on a short week going up against SuperCoach. I'm sure he's been planning for two weeks at least -- that would explain the paltry 17 point win against the Browns.

Previous GFLW's (4-1)
Week 1: Steelers at -4.5 = Win by 27
Week 2: Bengals at -7 = Lose by 6
Week 3: Chiefs at -2.5 = Win by 3
Week 4: Patriots at -7 = Win by 21
Week 5: Patriots at -16.5 = Win by 17

Hoagie Central's Giant Fucking Lock of the Week: Week 5

This Week's GFLW: Patriots -16.5 over Browns

This is the biggest line on the board, but I think it's the safest too.


Previous GFLW's (3-1)
Week 1: Steelers at -4.5 = Win by 27
Week 2: Bengals at -7 = Lose by 6
Week 3: Chiefs at -2.5 = Win by 3
Week 4: Patriots at -7 = Win by 21

Hoagie Central's Giant Fucking Lock of the Week: Week 4

This Week's GFLW: Patriots -7

I'm really surprised that this line isn't double digits. The Pats have dominated everyone, and the Bengals got beat by the Browns. Explain how the Bengals defense keep the Patriots under 38.

Previous GFLW's (2-1)
Week 1: Steelers at -4.5 = Win by 27
Week 2: Bengals at -7 = Lose by 6
Week 3: Chiefs at -2.5 = Win by 3

Hoagie Central's Giant Fucking Lock of the Week: Week 3

This Week's GFLW: Chiefs -2.5

This is a risky one, because I'm betting my pride as well as the lock. But I've got my reasons. What do we know about the Vikings? They're 1-1, winning at home over the hapless Falcons, and losing on the road, committing 5 turnovers against the Lions. And both games they've played have been in a dome.

This is the Chiefs first home game, and their first game back with Jared Allen. The Chiefs D is better than people think, and they played two good teams on the road, and kept them reasonably close.

I'm confident the Chiefs can beat anyone at home, and that includes a team lead by Tarvaris Jackson. (Update: Jackson is out, Kelly Holcomb will be starting. Doesn't change a damn thing.)



Previous GFLW's (1-1)
Week 1: Steelers at -4.5 = Win by 27
Week 2: Bengals at -7 = Lose by 6

Hoagie Central's Giant Fucking Lock of the Week: Week 2

This week's GFLW: the Bengals (-7)

It might seem unfair that I'm picking on the Browns, but I'm not the one that is setting the line at only a touchdown. The Bengals beat the Ravens by a touchdown, and now the Browns are supposed to keep them that close? Not until they get a quarterback.

Previous GFLW's
Week 1: Steelers at -4.5 = Win by 27

The Hoagie Central "Giant Fucking Lock of the Week"

This week's GFLW is the Steelers.

They've won 13 of 14 against the Browns and who's the Browns quarterback? If this was Week 8, the line would be Steelers -13. But it's Week 1, and Vegas isn't quite sure what to think about anyone. But trust me the Steelers are going to cover the measly 4.5.