Wednesday, December 16, 2009

Road to BS SB I


The road to the BS Super Bowl is a long and winding one. Although, more long and winding for some. Here's a breakdown of how these teams were built:

Mark's Team


Stevo's Team


As you can see, these teams couldn't have built more differently. For this analysis, I'll focus on the starters and ignore the kickers and DST since they are mostly interchangeable.

For Mark's 7 skill positions, he drafted 5, traded for 1, and he is currently projected to start a flex running back he picked up today. Even if you look at his bench, Mark has *zero* difference-makers acquired via the waiver wire. (Yes he did claim Steve Smith 2.0 and turn him and Addai into Chris Johnson).

On the other hand, for Stevo's 7 skill positions, he only drafted 3, and one of them is Hightower, a late round pick that isn't a bust, but isn't exactly an every-week start. The strength of his team was built after the draft, trading for Ricky Williams and jumping on Sidney Rice and Vernon Davis.

Rice is a Tier 2 receiver, and Davis is the #1 TE in Fantasy. And they were sitting on the waiver wire. It's to Stevo's credit that he saw their potential, and it may have in fact helped that he was new to Fantasy this year. I wasn't about to go near Vernon Davis after being burned by him in previous years. But look at his numbers and when Stevo grabbed him--before week 5. He had two typical Vernon Davis weeks, one fluke week, and one decent week against the terrible Rams. To look at that and think he's a commodity on the rise...well that's why he's in the BS SB I.


Likewise I hadn't hardly noticed Rice. Look at his first four games: two terrible games against the best possible matchups. Then decent games, but you figure he's one of those guys that relies on touchdowns and they just wont come. And then he starts exploding with huge games, without getting the touchdowns. So there you go.

Going back to Marks' team, he first 5 draft picks are in his SB lineup. That's amazing. On the other hand, Stevo's first three picks aren't in his lineup.

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Also, as I previously stated correlation does not equal causation, but it is very interesting to note that the teams with the first four draft slots, are the four playoff teams. In 07 when Mark and I made it the Super Bowl, we had the 8th and 10th slots. I think after looking at this more in-depth, that it's more of a coincidence. Mark was going to be good no matter where he was at. Stevo wasn't helped by the draft at all. So yeah.

1 comment:

  1. That's pretty crazy to see it all laid out like that.

    Gotta give props to Mark for his top five draft picks being so great. He knew what he was doing!

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