Niraj and I cleverly didn't pick all the games, making this harder than it should be.
Here's what it looks like to me:
Dave: 120/212 = Up 28 games
Matthew Berry: 134/256 = Up 12 games
Niraj: 78/151 = Up 5 games
Simmons: 125/256 = Down 6 games
Mark: 123/256 = Down 10 games
Cousin Sal: 120/256 = Down 16 games
- - -
ESPN Leader: 156/256 = Up 56 games
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So the two guys who do a podcast every week about NFL gambling do worse than a coin flip? Really?
- - -
So under the $20 on every game theory, here's how it would have finished:
2009 Season
Dave = Up $560
Niraj = Up $100
Simmons = Down $120
Mark = Down $200
- - -
2008 Season
Sports Guy: 132-116-8 = Up $320
Sports Gal: 128-120-8 = Up $160
Mark 113-105 = Up $160
Dave 111-110 = Up $20
2007 Season
Sports Gal: 135-111-9 = Up $480
Dave: 116-127-11 = Down $220
Sports Guy: 117-129-10 = Down $240
Mark: 100-114-10 = Down $280
2006 Season
Sports Gal: 129-120-7 = Up $180
Sports Guy: 128-121-7 = Up $140
Dave: 129-126 = Up $60
Mark: 90-103 = Down $260
- - -
I crushed it. Best anyone's ever finished in 4 years. How good?
I got 120 right and 92 wrong. At $20 on every game I would have lost $1840 on the year. After Vegas takes their -110 commission out of my projected $2400, I would be given $2181.82.
For a real life profit of $341.82 in the first year of Brittany's new job. Coincidence?
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