Tuesday, January 05, 2010

4th annual nfl picks recap

Well I've studied the effectiveness of in-season NFL predictions, now it's time to check on my preseason picks. Playoff teams in italics. My picks in black, actual standings in blue.

AFC East
Patriots 12-4
Dolphins 7-9
Bills 6-10
Jets 5-11

Patriots 10-6
Jets 9-7
Dolphins 7-9
Bills 6-10

AFC North
Steelers 12-4
Ravens 11-5
Bengals 7-9
Browns 3-13

Bengals 10-6
Ravens 9-7
Steelers 9-7
Browns 5-11

AFC South
Jaguars 10-6
Colts 9-7
Titans 9-7
Texans 8-8

Colts 14-2
Texans 9-7
Titans 8-8
Jaguars 7-9

AFC West

Chargers 13-3
Broncos 6-10
Chiefs 5-11
Raiders 4-12

Chargers 13-3
Broncos 8-8
Raiders 5-11
Chiefs 4-12

NFC East
Giants 11-5
Eagles 9-7
Redskins 7-9
Cowboys 7-9

Cowboys 11-5
Eagles 11-5
Giants 8-8
Redskins 4-12

NFC North
Bears 12-4
Packers 11-5
Vikings 8-8
Lions 3-13

Vikings 12-4
Packers 11-5
Bears 7-9
Lions 2-14

NFC South
Falcons 11-5
Saints 9-7
Bucs 8-8
Panthers 5-11

Saints 13-3
Falcons 9-7
Panthers 8-8
Bucs 3-13

NFC West
Seahawks 9-7
49ers 8-8
Cardinals 6-10
Rams 5-11

Cardinals 10-6
49ers 8-8
Seahawks 5-11
Rams 1-15

- - -

Where to start...

Division Winners: 2/8. crap.

Playoff Teams: 6/12. this is harder than it looks.

Division Losers: 3/8. hmmm.

Prediction Placement in Division 12/32 (7 in afc, 5 in nfc) The AFC West is the only division I had a good handle on, again not a surprise.

Worst Calls: Colts finished 5 better than I thought, Bears and Bucs finished 5 worse than I thought.

Predicted Records Exactly: Dolphins, Bills, Chargers, Packers, 49ers. better than I did last time

AFC East: Pretty good, didn't see the Sanchize coming.
AFC North: Not too terrible, the Bengals didn't come out of nowhere on these picks.
AFC South: I knew that all the teams would have good records, just figured this was the year the Colts can't keep it up.
AFC West: My best picks. If the Chiefs don't blow the game against Oakland in week 2, my picks are right on the money.
NFC East: Didn't know what to make of this division. Cowboys really surprised me.
NFC North: Knew the Packers would be a solid wild-card team, but I kept waiting for the Favre collapse. Apparently 3-13 was too generous for the Lions.
NFC South: I think I wanted to pick the Saints, but figured they didn't have the defense. Watching Carolina, it didn't seem like they were a 8-8 team this year, and I don't know what the hell I was thinking about the Bucs.
NFC West: Wasn't bad. I swapped Cardinals and Seahawks predicting a post Super Bowl swoon.

No comments:

Post a Comment