Thursday, January 07, 2010

Playoffs?!?! (round one)

Saturday, 3:30 (all times central) Jets at Bengals

First up is the game that no one wants to see. Not to mention we already got this game last week. The Jets dominated but that game was in Jersey and the Bengals didn't need to win that game and rested some players.

You can't feel confident with either team. The Bengals are not as good as their record. If a team like the Steelers or Texans was playing them you would jump on them. But it's the Jets with a rookie quarterback on the road. You can't win either way. Classic stay away game.

But hey, it's not my money. Bengals opened as 2.5 point favorites. It's settled at around -3. So perhaps the public isn't sold on the rookie QB. The nfl.com poll is split 50/50.

Since it's like that, I'll split my picks as well.

Bengals straight up for the win. Jets +3. Cinci wins 17-15.

Saturday, 7:00 Eagles at Cowboys

Another rematch from last week. But with good teams! The line started at Dallas -4 and has stayed there. The nfl.com is in favor of Dallas 62/38.

I think divisional games are always close and homefield doesn't matter. I still don't trust Romo in the playoffs.

I'm taking Eagles +4 and for the win. Eagles 30, Cowboys 20

Sunday, noon Ravens at Patriots

Hey look, these teams didn't play last week. Last time they played it was close and the Ravens outrushed the Pats. The Ravens are a good team, and did well last year, but I'm not ready to give up on New England, even sans Welker.

But the betting public might be. It opened at NE -3.5 and settled at -3. Even after 60,000+ votes, the nfl.com is split 50/50 too.

I'm taking the Patriots to cover the three. Pats 31-24.

Sunday, 3:40 Packers at Cardinals

Yet another rematch from week 17. The Packers crushed the Cardinals who didn't try. Will Green Bay be overconfident?

Well the line opened at Cardinals -2.5 and is now at -1. That's a pretty big shift. And the poll is Packers 73/27. That should be a red flag. But I've bought in too.

I like the Packers to win and at +1. Packers 28-13

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