Monday, February 12, 2024

LVIII Fun Facts

Growing up my favorite Chiefs were Christian Okoye on offense and Derrick Thomas on defense.

Derrick Thomas wore #58. I've always found it annoying that the Broncos won Super Bowl 50, such a nice round number. Well, now the Chiefs will always have Super Bowl 58.



The Raiders moved from Oakland to Las Vegas before the 2020 season. The Chiefs have played the Raiders four times in Allegiant Stadium, winning all four. Now the Chiefs are 5-0 in Las Vegas. 

The Chiefs won a Super Bowl on the Raiders field.
They celebrated a Super Bowl in the Raiders locker room.
MVS planted a Chiefs flag on the Raiders field. 
The Chiefs won a playoff game in Las Vegas before the Raiders did.


When the stadium was being built, a Chiefs fan planted a Chiefs Kingdom flag underneath Allegiant Stadium. Maybe that really is a good luck charm.


- - - 

Let's see if you can see what all three of these images have in common:




They're all 3rd downs for the Chiefs, sure. 
They're also all 10 point deficits in the Super Bowl for the Chiefs. 
They're also all Super Bowls the Chiefs won.


Super Bowl LVIII Champions

I am never allowed to complain about anything in sports for the rest of my life. 

There's a million insane stats and I will collect them all. 

If you know me and been reading for a while, this will be a little repetitive. But I have to include the context. 

My Chiefs fandom was defined by their inability to win a playoff game. SEVEN playoff losses in a row over 22 years. This was reality as of January 1, 2016. When the Chiefs hired Andy Reid I said it would be a success if he won a single playoff game. That was the bar. 

In November 2005, I was on this site calling a Chiefs win over the Raiders "the greatest game I've seen." It was a regular season win that brought the Chiefs to 5-3. 

So you know that playoff streak of seven losses in a row that I just mentioned. Well the Chiefs are on a new streak right now. Seven playoff wins in a row. 


- - -

I will have weeks and months and years to post more about what this means for legacies and all that good stuff. So for now I want to dive into the game itself. 

1st Quarter

The game opens with a CMC fumble, and I'm thinking here's the Chiefs chance to boat race the Niners. Get an opening drive TD. Force Purdy to start slinging and make a pick. Get the ball to start the second half. This could be 34-10. 

Chiefs go 3 and out.

KC defense makes another stop but Chiefs go 4 and out.

It's the end of the first quarter and it's 0-0. The Chiefs are in the Super Bowl and it's boring. 

2nd Quarter

SF lines up for a 55-yard field goal. Would be the longest in SB history with their terrible kicker? I think this has no shot of going in. Of course he makes it.

Chiefs respond with a 52-yard deep shot to Hardman. 1st and goal from the 9. And Pacheco fumbles. Kelce is screaming at Andy Reid and almost knocks him over, mad that he's not in the game to block for Pacheco. 

Chiefs D overcomes a horse collar personal foul to make the stop, but Chiefs O can't overcome intentional grounding.

49ers rip off a 67-yard touchdown drive that includes a 15-yard penalty for Sneed slapping an opponent's helmet, and a trick play double pass touchdown.

4 minutes to go until halftime and it's SF 10, KC 0. 

Chiefs have had the ball four times and have no points to show for it.

KC finally executes a solid drive, but gets stopped in the red zone. Butker gets a short one and we're on the board. Both teams got five possessions in the first half.

Halftime: SF 10, KC 3.

In Mahomes four Super Bowl appearances, trailed 3 times at the half, tied once. Never had a halftime lead.

3rd Quarter

It's okay though, Chiefs have the ball to start. They've got 40 minutes to script their next 10 plays. They're the experienced team that knows how to handle the unusually long halftime. And it's intercepted. 49ers defense is celebrating.

Despite starting at the KC 44, the 49ers can't move the ball and end up punting.

The Chiefs come very close to picking up the first down on both 2nd and 3rd down. Instead of challenging, they just burn a timeout anyways. Believe it or not the Chiefs punt again.

Once again, the KC defense holds and gets the ball back.

On this drive the only plays longer than 4 yards were a 22-yard Mahomes scramble out of the triple option, and a 11-yard pass to Kelce. Still it's a long enough drive to get to the SF 39. 4th and 6. Down 10-3, Reid calls upon Butker. It's a 57-yard field goal. Would break the record that Moody set in the 2nd quarter. Drills it. 

49ers go 3 and out. That's 3 straight punts from SF. 

With 2:49 left in the quarter, the Chiefs have the momentum, they're only down 4 and have the ball. It's 3rd and 2. And the defense clamps down. Chiefs to punt. 

And then one guy CHANGES THE WHOLE GAME. 

Jaylen Watson, #35, the gunner on the punt unit. 

If you watch the punt coverage, he's lined up opposite #28 in white. Watson blocks him into the ball at 2:37 and then recovers it at 2:33. Two pieces of effort in the span of four seconds and everything is different. 


Quick aside on Watson. He was a rookie last year and he made the 99-yard game-winning pick six on Herbert and also made 2 interceptions in the playoffs last year, to help the Chiefs get to LVII. This year, the Chiefs secondary was improved and healthier, so Watson wasn't on the field as much, reduced to a special teamer. But here he is transforming the game. 



Very next play. Mahomes to MVS. Sure hands. (Looks for a half-second like he's about to drop it, but he secures it.) It's a touchdown and the Chiefs are winning for the first time. I'm feeling great. 

49ers get the ball and they respond. It's funny how we talk about momentum and I know it's real, but there's also this effect of once a team shifts the momentum, there's often a response to steal it back. 

4th Quarter

49ers drive down and they've got a 4th and 3 at the KC 15. SF is down three, so the easy thing to do is kick the field goal and tie the game. But they don't. They convert and take the lead on a touchdown. Jennings now has a receiving TD and a passing TD. 


I notice the time. 11:22. 

My birthday is November 22, so 11.22 has always been a number with good vibes for me. A lucky number if you will. 

And it's right at this time, that Leo Chenal blocks the extra point.

Listen, I've watched a lot of football. I know that every team has to overcome hiccups to win a game. But a missed extra point is 99% a harbinger of a bad time. When you add in the Greenlaw Achilles injury, the punt off the heel, Deebo in the blue tent and now a blocked XP in the 4th quarter, it definitely seemed like fate was not on the 49ers side. 

Chiefs get the ball and go down the field, converting a 3rd and 10 to Kelce. They get stopped in the red zone, so Butker comes on and ties the game. 

16-16 with 5:46 to go. 

Feeling pretty good. But then the 49ers offense keeps rolling. First down. First down. It's 3:27 and I realize the clock situation looks fatal. 

49ers at the KC 40. 1 or two more first downs and they can kick a field goal with 3 seconds left and Mahomes never touches the ball again. 

They keep the clock running and all of a sudden it's the 2-minute warning. 3rd and 5. The Chiefs need a stop now. 

Spags sends McDuffie on a corner blitz and he knocks down the pass.

Moody from 53 to take the lead. Somehow this kicker who was bad all year, makes two from 50+.

So now the ball is back in Mahomes hands. But no margin for error. One interception or fumble and the season is over.

Kelce. Noah Gray. Justin Watson. 

3rd and 2. Short dump off to McKinnon, for his first action in a long time, coming off IR. Picks up the first. 

With only 16 seconds left, Chiefs are on the 33. 


A sack here loses the game. 

Instead it's a 22-yard crossing route to Kelce. 

Now there's 10 seconds left from the 11. You want a shot at the end zone, but you can't throw a pick. The game could be won or lost on this play. 

Ends up throwing it out of bounds in the direction of a covered Kelce. 

Butker. Automatic. Now we're going to overtime. 

First game under the new rules. 

Both teams to get the ball. 49ers win toss and want the ball. (Chiefs reveal after game that they wanted the ball 2nd, and would have gone for 2 to win if it came to that.)

Overtime

First play is almost picked off. Would have been 4th and 13 but there's holding on KC.

Great drive for 49ers, go down the field, picking up first downs, overcoming offensive holding, get inside the 10. 3rd and 4 from the KC 9. 

Biggest play of the game and 49ers leave Chris Jones unblocked. Error in communicating protection. He's on the QB immediately and Purdy throws it away. Both Aiyuk and Jennings were going to be open about 1 second after Purdy chucks it. If RT and RG are on the same page, that's a TD for SF. 


So Patrick Lavon Mahomes comes on to the field needing 3 to extend the game, 6 to win.

First set of downs it's 4th and 1. Mahomes has said Reid would only let him sneak if it's the Super Bowl. Well, it's the Super Bowl and you need 1 yard. 

The 49ers are one tackle away from winning the Super Bowl. 

Chiefs line up in shotgun. I'm freaking out. Are we really going to throw it and risk MVS or Hardman to drop a pass to lose the freaking game?

Chiefs leave Bosa unblocked and he bites on the fake handoff to Pacheco. Mahomes looks like he might toss it to Kelce but he's got a running lane and picks it up. 

They're moving and it feels good but I know it's one tipped pass away from being a game-ending interception. Or a game-ending Pacheco fumble.

Then MVS runs backwards after a tackle attempt. But they pick up the first anyways to Rice.

Pacheco looks like he gets a first down but they mark it 3rd and 1. Mahomes takes off and there's a second where I think he might run up the middle all the way to the end zone. 

Inside screen to Kelce who catches it on the 12 and fights to the 3. 



Chiefs are on the doorstep. They're hungry. And when Andy Reid gets hungry, he's ordering a CORN DOG.

Named after the corner drag, they ran Corn Dog twice in last year's Super Bowl for touchdowns and it worked again. 

Redemption for Mecole Hardman who fumbled in the Bills game. At the start of the year, Hardman was on the Jets and predicted he'd beat the 49ers in the Super Bowl. 


Comes back to the Chiefs and catches the winning score. 










This morning, I was reminded of the Chiefs team that I feel in love with in the early 2000s, the Vermeil Chiefs. His pregame fire-up talk was: 

Offense! Go to work!
Defense! Go to work!
Special Teams! Go to work!
Coaches! Go to work!

And that's what it took today. This wasn't the offense hanging 51 on the Texans in the Wild-Card game. This was such a balanced effort, including clutch special teams and coaches making the right calls. All four phases units together. 

- - -

The craziest thing is for most of my life I hoped but never fully believed that I would see the Chiefs win one Super Bowl.

And now they're a Dynasty. 

3 Super Bowl Wins in 5 Years. 

Back to Back titles which hadn't been done in 20 years. 

It's all so insane that's it's hard to believe it's real. 

What a time to be alive.


Sunday, February 11, 2024

Monday, January 29, 2024

Sunday, January 28, 2024

Lamar Hunt Trophy

The first AFC Championship was in 1970, en route to Super Bowl V. 

And the prize for winning the AFC Championship is the Lamar Hunt Trophy, named after the founder of the AFL, but also the founder and owner of the Chiefs. The only problem?  As of January 1, 2020 the Chiefs had exactly zero Lamar Hunt trophies to speak of. 

I mean the Chargers and Titans had one. The Ravens had two and they've only existed since 1996.

But thanks to a certain someone, the Chiefs have fixed the problem. 

Here are the current standings for AFC Championships since 1970:

Patriots: 11
Steelers, Broncos: 8
Dolphins: 5
Chiefs, Raiders, Bills: 4
Colts, Bengals: 3
Ravens: 2
Titans, Chargers: 1
Jets, Browns, Jags, Texans: 0

So yeah, Tom Brady's contributions are gonna help the Patriots be at the top. He won 9 AFC Titles in 19 seasons in New England. Mahomes has won 4 in 6 seasons. 

Today, the Chiefs won their 4th Lamar Hunt trophy while wearing a patch honoring the life of Norma Hunt, Lamar's widow who herself passed away in June 2023. And in the process, kept the Lamar Hunt trophy out of the hands of a different Lamar.



Chiefs to Super Bowl LVIII

Before I begin, this is not a cherry-picked hot streak. This is the entirety of Mahomes career:

2018: Loss in AFC Championship, Overtime to Patriots
2019: Win in Super Bowl LIV, over 49ers
2020: Loss in Super Bowl LV, to Bucs
2021: Loss in AFC Championship, Overtime to Bengals
2022: Win in Super Bowl LVII, over Eagles
2023: Appearing in Super Bowl LVIII

6 seasons. 4 Super Bowl appearances. 
With Mahomes, the Chiefs have a 66% chance of going to the Super Bowl. 

6 seasons. 14 playoff wins and counting. 
Here are the quarterbacks with more playoff wins than Mahomes: Tom Brady and Joe Montana. 

The floor with Mahomes is overtime in the AFC Championship. That's the WORST it's been in his career. The best is two rings with a chance to go three rings in six seasons.

14-3 in the playoffs. 
This franchise went from 1-10 in the playoffs in the 25 years before Mahomes, to 14-3 in the playoffs with him. 

People like to throw the term "generational quarterback" around a lot. Go back to the list of QBs with more playoff wins. 

Joe Montana born 1956
Tom Brady born 1977
Patrick Mahomes born 1995

This is the list of generational quarterbacks.

- - -

Reid is up to 25 playoff wins, trailing Belichick only by 6. 

- - -

Lamar is now 2-4 in the playoffs. 

His wins were over a 4-seed Titans in the Wild-Card Round and over the 4-seed Texans in the Divisional Round. 

- - -

We're going to 4 Super Bowls in 5 years. There should be a word for that...

- - -

This Super Bowl is being played in Las Vegas.

The Chiefs are 4-0 in this stadium. 


For years, ever since LVIII was announced, Chiefs fans have been talking about how good it would be to win the Super Bowl on the Raiders home field. Now we've got a chance.

championship sunday predictions

AFC

Most likely this is a 3-point game either way. (There's also a chance that it's like Super Bowl LV and Baltimore wins 33-13.) It should come down to the final possession. Chiefs 27-24


NFC

Unfortunately I think the Lions playoff bandwagon runs out of steam on the road. I think the 49ers will be up 28-10 after three quarters. 49ers 31-18


Friday, January 26, 2024

Platinum Trophy Update

Here are my current stats for Playstation Trophies:


But the only thing I pay attention to is how many platinum trophies I've collected. 

Here are the 13 I've earned chronologically, most recent at the top.




So two on the PS3, seven on the PS4, and already four on the PS5 in less than a year of owning it. 
Another way of looking at it would be four before 2020, nine since 2020.

For someone who loves data on their personal life, it's incredible to have such an accurate record of gaming dating back to 2010. 

Also, for the record, Grant actually earned the Spider-Man 2 trophy. Unlike the original, I haven't played the game at all.

- - -

So chronological is great, but I want to see the rarity of each one too. Here they are sorted by how many players have earned the trophy in descending order, starting with the most common. 

Spider-Man 2: 18.1%


Spider-Man: 8.4%


Viewfinder: 7.5%


Assassin's Creed Mirage: 7%


Assassin's Creed II: 5.2%


Control: 4.1%


Tony Hawk HD: 3.5%


Rocket League: 2.6%


Assassin's Creed Syndicate: 2.1%


Far Cry 4: 1.8%


Hitman 3: .8%


Just Cause 4: .3%


Teardown .1%



Tuesday, January 23, 2024

Playoff Wins

Playoff wins. The one thing that was the most elusive for Chiefs fans for most of my entire life. 

Here's the top 10 QBs sorted by playoff wins. 


Mahomes already more than Favre, Big Ben, Aikman. Will move into tied for 3rd place with Bradshaw/Elway when he wins the next one. In two years or less, he's going to be ahead of Joe Montana. 

That .813 winning record is insane. Even if he loses in Baltimore, he'll still be 1st all-time with .765. 

Okay, hold on for a sec. 

Among QBs with minimum 3 starts:


So Bart Starr is insanely impressive. 5 titles, plus a 9-1 playoff record. If he had more rounds, I'm sure he would have racked up double the wins. 

So when I say Mahomes is all-time winning percentage, I have to qualify either minimum 10 wins, or among QBs with top ten wins. Still. 

So Mahomes 13 wins ranks pretty well among QBs, but what about against coaches, who can coach for 30+ years:


Mahomes is already tied for 7th against coaches. More than Bill Cowher or John Harbaugh.

But what about teams?

Mahomes has more playoff wins than 12 franchises. 

aged like yogurt


Monday, January 22, 2024

Lions Win 2 Playoff Games for First Time in Super Bowl Era

The title sounds wild, but it's underselling it. A month ago, the Lions had exactly ONE playoff win in the Super Bowl era. 

January 5, 1992. 

3 playoff losses in the 35 years before that. 
9 playoff losses in the 32 years to follow that. 

But it's not just the playoff drought. 

The Lions have been playing football since 1934. 


They're 26th in winning percentage with an all-time record of 591-707-34.

No sugar coating it. The Lions have been bad. 

But I know that when you've gone through the darkness, the light is that much brighter. 

The Lions crowd has been absolutely deafening. Their fans are showing up and showing out. And they get to see TWO playoff wins at home. Regardless of what happens on Sunday, that's something they can hold on to and build from. 

- - -

Last year, the 49ers made the NFC Championship game and lost because they didn't have a quarterback that could throw the ball. This year, we've seen that Purdy can't play in the rain. 

My best advice for Lions fans. Start doing a rain dance.

Mahomes to the AFC Championship: 6 for 6

There are stats out there that are amazing. And then they keep happening. 

Here's how each season has ended for Mahomes:

2018: Loss in AFC Championship, Overtime to Patriots
2019: Win in Super Bowl LIV, over 49ers
2020: Loss in Super Bowl LV, to Bucs
2021: Loss in AFC Championship, Overtime to Bengals
2022: Win in Super Bowl LVII, over Eagles
2023: ?

If you're keeping score, the worst outcome the Mahomes Chiefs have had is going to overtime in the AFC Championship and losing. So if the Ravens beat the Chiefs in regulation, that will represent the worst finish for this Chiefs era. 

Every single year that Mahomes has played, the Chiefs are in the AFC Championship. 6 for 6. 

Over the first 5 years with Mahomes, the Chiefs were more likely to go to the Super Bowl than not.

When the Chiefs got to the Super Bowl, they were more likely to win it than lose it.

It was impressive when Mahomes started his career with two AFC Championship appearances. Now he's 6 for 6.

In the 48 AFC Championships before Mahomes, the Chiefs went 1 time.
In the 6 AFC Championships with Mahomes, the Chiefs have gone 6 times. 

Such an odd feeling. On the one hand, my whole life until 6 years ago the Chiefs were a letdown. They found new ways to break my heart in the playoffs each and every time. And now they're reliable winners. So I have both the feeling of trust in Mahomes + Reid, but I'm still not used to this.

- - -

The Mahomes-Kelce duo is now your all-time leader in playoff touchdowns. 

They passed Brady-Gronk and they passed Montana-Rice. 

I remember when the Chiefs drafted Brodie Croyle making jokes that Croyle-Bowe was going to be the new Montana-Rice. Croyle went 0-10 as a starter. But Mahomes-Kelce just surpassed everyone including Montana-Rice for playoff touchdowns.

- - -

We gotta talk about the Bills. 


A Bills fan posted it after the Chiefs beat the Jaguars last year in the Divisional Round. This guy says about Chiefs Kingdom "there isn't a fanbase more uninvited to a party" that still shows up. 

See, the thing is, when your team keeps winning in the playoffs, that's being invited to the party. When you make it to 3 Super Bowls in 4 years, possibly 4 in 5, that's being invited to the party. 

Let's check-in on how the Josh Allen era is going in Buffalo. 

2018: misses playoffs
2019: Lost Wild-Card Round to Texans
2020: Lost AFC Championship to Chiefs 38-24 (blown out in KC)
2021: Lost Divisional Round to Chiefs 42-36 OT (13 second game in KC)
2022: Lost Divisional Round to Bengals 27-10 (blown out at home)
2023: Lost Divisional Round to Chiefs 27-24 (wide right at home)

3 out of last 4 seasons have ended to the Chiefs. 

Of their last 4 playoff losses, 2 were blowouts. 2 were close. The 13-second game and tonight's wide right.

And the last two years, they lost at home. 

And as for that post. Last year, a hobblin ass Mahomes beat the Bengals, the team that blew out the Bills, then won the Super Bowl. This year, that guy was in the stands to see Mahomes get the win tonight. So yeah, I bet he's pretty fuckin tired of the Chiefs. 

- - -

I made this prediction in 2020: 


So let's do a quick check-in for AFC Championship Games that take place since January 1, 2020:

Chiefs: 5
Bengals: 2
Titans/Bills/Ravens: 1

- - - 

While we're here, we might as well look at the Ravens seasons with Lamar:

2018: Lost Wild-Card Round to Chargers
2019: Lost Divisional Round to Titans (choked as 1-seed)
2020: Lost Divisional Round to Bills (17-3)
2021: last in division
2022: Lost Wild-Card Round to Bengals (Lamar missed game to injury)
2023: ?

Not exactly setting the world on fire. Lamar is now 2-3 in the playoffs with a 2020 Wild-Card win over Titans and a win over the Texans yesterday.

To be fair, the Ravens looked great yesterday, particularly their defense. So it wouldn't surprise me at all if Baltimore wins next week. 

- - -


Let's update the list through January 2024:

Brady: 13
Mahomes: 6
Manning: 5
Roethlisberger: 5
Flacco: 3
Sanchez: 2
Burrow: 2
Stewart: 1
Gannon: 1
McNair: 1
Plummer: 1
Rivers: 1
Luck: 1
Bortles: 1
Tannehill: 1
Allen: 1
Lamar: 1

Peyton Manning played 17 seasons, all in the AFC. He made the AFC title games 5 times, never back to back. 

So going 6 for 6, is uh, pretty good.

- - -

This game featured 5 straight touchdowns. It was 27-24 with 14 minutes to go in the 4th. Nobody could get a stop.

Then the Bills go 3 and out. Plus a fake punt that didn't work. 

Chiefs takeover on Bills 32. First play give it to Pacheco for 29 yards. Now it's first and goal from the 3. Should we give to to Pacheco again? Or give it to Hardman on a sweep who already fumbled on a sweep earlier in the game? As soon they handed it to Hardman I screamed what are you doing. Then it looked like he might score. Then he fumbled through the end zone.

So Josh Allen gets a second chance. 3 and out again. Real punt this time.

The Bills defense forces a punt of their own. 

Josh Allen gets a third chance. On 3rd and 10, he scrambles, fumbles and it's bouncing towards the Chiefs. 


The question will this be a scoop and score or just a Chiefs recovery. And Kincaid reaches it for and knocks it away from the Chiefs and Bills recover. 

So Allen gets a 4th chance. 

It's 1st and 10 from the KC 27. Cook stopped for a 1 yard gain. 

2nd and 9. Instead of getting the ball to a wide open Diggs on a short cross that would have gained 6-8 yards, Allen fires to the end zone but is way off target.

3rd and 9. Chiefs defense gets good pressure, no running lanes, and Allen throws it away to the sideline. 

So yes, the Bills kicker pushed it wide right but the Bills offense had so many chances to get a touchdown.

- - -

Mahomes is now 13-3 in the playoffs. 81% winning percentage in the playoffs, best all-time. 

Reid is up to 24 playoff wins as head coach, 2nd all-time. 7 behind Belichick. 

(Before Mahomes, Reid had 11 playoff wins. So added 13 and counting in 6 seasons. All of a sudden, it's not crazy that in 5 years Reid could pass Belichick for playoff wins, assuming Belichick doesn't start adding 2 per year somewhere.)

- - -

Sunday vs the Ravens will be the 2nd road playoff game for Mahomes. First one went alright. 

The Ravens are favored at home and will be tough. This whole season the Chiefs have not been on the level they were last year. And I've doubted the Ravens all year, and they kept proving me wrong. 

So I'm not making any confident predictions. Let's just hope for a good game and see what happens.