Wednesday, July 04, 2007

if you win it, will they come?

(click to view)
How to read the chart:
The line is the MLB average for home attendance, based on the team's record. To see how a team stacks up, measure the vertical distance from each dot to the line. For example, the Rangers are two gridlines above the average line, meaning they are drawing 4% better than you would expect from their record.

Findings:
  • The Dodgers, Padres, Mets, Brewers, Reds and Rangers are all getting about what you would expect, despite having vastly different records.
  • The Indians are winning almost as much as anybody, but barely getting more fans than the Nationals or Royals.
  • The Giants, even more so than the Cubs it appears, don't need to win to draw a crowd.
  • And the Devil Rays stink, but so the Reds and they're still getting over 50% attendance.
Conclusions:
There are a lot of teams far above and below the league average, with few teams close to the line. If there was no correlation between winning and attendance, the average line would be flat. But it seems that winning is not the most important factor.

1 comment:

  1. That's good stuff. I like it and your analysis seems correct.

    Why didn't you include the Cardinals in the group of teams that draw fans despite a bad record?

    ReplyDelete