Bracket Contest Breakdown

My bracket is currently in 1st out of 19, 94th percentile in the country, with 430 points. 

In the Elite 8, I can get four teams right: Alabama, Houston, Texas, Gonzaga.

Final 4, I have three alive: Alabama, Houston, Gonzaga. 

And the title game of Houston vs Alabama is still alive. 

So good position, but still only four teams alive.

Niraj trails me by 40 points, but he has a chance to get an extra 40 points because in addition to the exact bracket I have, he also has UConn advancing to the Elite 8. If UConn beats Arkansas, Niraj and I will end up with the same score.

Despite having tiebreakers, ESPN does not calculate the tiebreaker. Instead saying that it total score relative to the actual total score. My tiebreaker total was 150. Niraj put 146. If the national championship scores 148 points, I guess we're still tied. 

But that's just Niraj. 

Harrison has 5 teams alive: SDSU, Houston, Texas, Arkansas, Gonzaga. He also has Gonzaga winning it all. So he has a path to victory.

Brit has the same 5 teams alive as Niraj but with Texas winning it all. So she has a path to victory. 

Adam's wife KC has Xavier beating Texas but has no teams in the championship alive. Her path is very slim and relies on Xavier and chaos. Seems almost impossible. 

Savan is the highest score that has Alabama winning it all. So he has a path.

Mark can pass Savan as Mark has Kansas State in the Final Four. Savan has Gonzaga so Mark needs Kansas State to keep winning, root against Gonzaga, and wants Alabama to win it all. But it's possible. 

Eve has some unique teams alive, so it seems like she also has a path. Her Elite 8 teams alive are Alabama, Miami, Xavier and Tennessee. With Tennessee in the Championship game. So it's possible. 

Adam has Xavier and UConn alive, along with Alabama, Houston, Gonzaga and Houston winning it all. So if everything fell his way, probably has a path.

Jonah could possibly tie or pass Brit with Tennessee and UCLA wins and then be in prime position if Texas wins it all. So still alive I think.

Grant despite intentionally making a bunch of bozo picks, has San Diego State beating Gonzaga in the championship. Still alive. 

Matt despite being at the bottom, has UCLA winning it all with Xavier also in the Final Four. Still a chance.

Cora, Leela, Missy, Jay, Bridget, Kirat, and Sid cannot pass people ahead of them. 

The 11 people with a path to victory are in bold.