Tuesday, March 01, 2022
Alternate Super Bowl LIV Logos
Local Specialties
Monday, February 28, 2022
Daily Favorites: Mashed Potatoes
Thursday, February 24, 2022
Work Trip to NYC
Tuesday, February 15, 2022
How NFL Legacies Are Written
Monday, February 14, 2022
2021-22 NFL Wrap Up
Tuesday, February 01, 2022
Reliable Joy
Platinum Trophies
Sunday, January 30, 2022
One Title Changes Everything
Daily Favorites: Chips & Dip
Thursday, January 27, 2022
Tuesday, January 25, 2022
Fixing NFL Overtime, Again
So back in 2010, NFL overtimes were sudden death even in the playoffs. You could win the toss. Gain 30-40 yards, kick a field goal and win the game.
This seemed too easy, creating too much of an advantage for the winner of the coin toss. In 2010, I explored proposals to change the sudden death system.
The NFL made a change that took effect in 2012, that if the first team scored a field goal, the second team would still get a chance.
This was an improvement and seemed to make things more fair.
- - -
In the 2018-2019 AFC Championship, the Patriots and Chiefs went to overtime. Patriots won the coin toss, drove the field for a touchdown and won without Mahomes getting to touch the ball.
In the offseason, the Chiefs proposed a rule change that would ensure both teams get to have a possession. It didn't even have enough support to get a league vote.
Chiefs fans were told to get over it. Make a stop.
Three years later, the two best teams in the AFC faced off again in the playoffs. It went to overtime. And the team that won the coin toss got a touchdown and won the game.
Now, the conversation has shifted. More people are realizing it's not really fair to have such weight on a single coin toss.
Here's the thing: Modern playoff teams are typically offense-driven. Combined with the fact that defenses are gassed after playing for 60 minutes, it really has shifted the odds heavily in favor of the team that wins the coin toss.
I've seen two more good points this week that made sense to me:
1. In baseball, it wouldn't feel right if extra innings ended in the top of the 10th, even if the road team scored 4 runs.
2. To the "defense is part of the game, make a stop" crowd...the Chiefs defense didn't have to make a stop on Sunday. The Patriots defense didn't have to make a stop 3 years ago. So because of a coin toss, we've shifted the responsibility to half of an NFL team.
So any proposal should address the weight of the coin toss on a game, and should involve the offense and the defense of both teams in the overtime period.
Let's look at some proposals and see what makes the most sense.
Proposal #1: Both teams guaranteed a possession. If still tied, then sudden death.
This is actually one of my least favorites. If this was in effect two days ago and the Bills tie it up, then we're back to the 2010 rules where all the Chiefs need is a field goal. Offenses and defenses are involved but the coin toss still matters a lot.
Proposal #2: Play a full 10-minute or 15-minute period.
I don't love this one either. Forcing players to play 75 minutes is probably too long. 10 minute OT and one team could try to hold the ball and drag the clock out. And you could still be tied after all of this anyways.
Proposal #3: Keep the current rules but remove the coin toss. Home team gets ball.
This might sound dumb at first, but by removing the coin toss and making it known what happens in advance, it's more fair. The road team can now choose to play for the win. The Bills might have gone for 2 with 13 seconds left if OT was less desirable. At least knowing in advance, you can't complain that the toss didn't go your way.
Proposal #4: College format from the 40, home team goes 2nd.
Here we've removed the coin toss and are involving the offenses and the defenses. A defensive stop could win you the game as you don't start in gimme field goal range. We reward higher seeds with byes and homefield already, going 2nd in OT isn't that much more far-fetched. Again, knowing this in advance makes it more fair in regulation.
Proposal #5: College format from the 25, no field goals allowed. 2 point conversions mandatory.
We can still have a coin toss here, but we've removed the advantage of going 2nd. There's no information gained. Both teams have to go for a TD and 2-pt no matter what. It will take offense and defense to win the game.
Proposal #6: Spot and choose, sudden death.
Road team picks the spot where the OT drive starts from, home team picks offense or defense. In Sundays game anything from the 10 and up and I think the Chiefs pick offense. But if the Bills say let's start at the 3 yard line, 97 yards away from a TD, do the Chiefs still pick offense? Adds a lot of strategy. But doesn't really feel like NFL.
Proposal #7: Secret auction, sudden death.
Whoever picks the furthest yard line away gets the ball. The coaches write a number in an envelope. The ref reads it out. If the Bills pick the 12 and the Chiefs pick the 9, the Chiefs start OT on their own 9. Again, very strategic, very unlike normal football.
I basically think 1 and 2 are worse than what we have now, and 3 through 7 are an improvement. I think #5 is the simplest solution that solves the issues and we've seen it play out in college, so we're used to the idea already. (In a way that fans aren't ready for 6 or 7.) So let's go with #5.
Monday, January 24, 2022
AFC Championship Preview
In the first 48 AFC Championship Games, the Chiefs played in one, on the road. 1 out of 48.
Since starting Mahomes, the Chiefs have hosted the AFC Championship every time. 4 out of 4.
Draft Mahomes and the AFC runs through Arrowhead every year. That's the floor with this guy. Insane.
- - -
Before Mahomes, the Chiefs were last in AFC Championship appearances among non-expansion teams. Behind such "cursed" franchises as the Browns, Bills and Bengals despite a better win-loss record. Before Mahomes, the Chiefs basically set the standard for playoff futility.
Before Andy Reid, Chiefs fans would argue to be represented alongside the Vikings, Bills, Browns, Lions for most tortured fan bases.
Patriots fans grew up losing and had a chip on their shoulder. Then they paired Brady with Belichick and won 6 Super Bowls. They became the smug, entitled villains of NFL fanbases.
In just a few years, I went from identifying with tortured fans to assholes. It truly can happen to anyone.
- - -
In the playoffs, you face the best version of a team. The Chiefs didn't play the version of the Bills that lost to the Jaguars. We're not going to see the Bengals that lost to the Bears, Jets or Browns. Just as the Chiefs won't be the team that lost to the Titans, Bengals or Bills.
- - -
The Bengals are 2-0 in AFC Championship games in 1981 and 1988. Both times they went to the Super Bowl they lost to the 49ers.
- - -
A look back at the last 3 AFC Championships with Mahomes:
vs Patriots: 31-37 (OT)
vs Titans 35-24
vs Bills 38-24
so, based on that trend, I'm guessing...
vs Bengals 41-24
- - -
Mahomes is now 8-2 in the playoffs with his two losses both coming against Tom Brady.
Andy Reid's march onto the Mount Rushmore of NFL coaches is right on track.
- - -
Bengals fans were talking a lot of shit after they beat us in the regular season. Let's see who's talking in 7 days.