The Top Ten of 2019

A year ago, I was suddenly unemployed. It was hard to reflect upon 2018 and be appreciative in the midst of financial instability and uncertainty. But once again, having gone through a difficult situation and come out the other side, I have an ever greater appreciation for my life and everyone and everything in it.

I'm quite confident that one day we will look back on this era with great fondness.


Honorable Mentions

Harrison Had a Killer Bracket

The Fight in Fighting Illini

Championship Cities

Avs Win a Playoff Series

Sportsbook Success







10. Chiefs-Colts Game
This one made it mainly for the joke about the run defense.

9. Squad Goals
Found some new aspirations.

8. Guide to Keeping Sports Trophies
When someone dents a Lombardi, I wanted to get to the bottom of it.

7. Chiefs Host the AFC Championship
This was incredible, the farthest I've seen them go.

6. White Whales
Writing this post unfolded a twist in real-time.

5. Defining My Wheelhouse
I got self-reflective and figured out what I'm into.

4. Derren Brown
Got to see Derren Brown in person for the first time...and go on stage.

3. The Ultimate Movie Calendar
Who else is doing posts like these?

2. Ranking the NFL Fan Experiences
This was a fun one to think about.

and my favorite post of the year: Number One

Road to Super Bowl LIV: Two Games Away

Before the season started, my eyes were focused on homefield advantage. I assumed it was a two-team race between Patriots and Chiefs.

Through 4 games here were the AFC Standings:

Everything started according to plan.

The Chiefs then lost their next two games with their defense becoming exposed. Then Mahomes got injured in the first half at Denver. At that point, it seemed like a lost season, expecting to hear that QB1 was out for the year or most of it.

But the defense lifted the team up and the Chiefs went 2-1 without Mahomes.

He came back for the game vs the Titans. Before the game, Nick Wright predicted that the 6-3 Chiefs would run the table and win the Super Bowl.

The Chiefs had a 98% chance of winning that Titans game late. Then they botched a field goal and choked defensively. Mahomes still led the team down in the final seconds but the last field goal was blocked.

The Chiefs were now 6-4 and in danger of missing the playoffs. Nick Wright had egg on his face. There was talk of the Raiders or Chargers winning the division.

At that point the banged up Chiefs reeled off 6 in a row.
Chargers. Raiders. Patriots. Broncos. Bears. Chargers.

4 divisional games that are supposed to be anybody's game but are actually only Andy Reid's. Beat the Broncos in the snow. Blew out the Bears. And shut down the Patriots in Foxboro.

12-4. Last year that was good enough for the #1 seed. But this year would only be good enough for the #3 seed. What's that...let's go to the moment after the Chiefs scored to secure their Week 17 win...

Kevin Harlan is OUTSTANDING.

Announcing the Chiefs game, he gives play-by-play of the Dolphins taking the lead over the Patriots to secure a bye for KC.

This call is amazing, the crowd reaction is tremendous, the Chiefs player reaction is incredible. I love EVERYTHING about it. pic.twitter.com/imVO3B9IkJ

— Warren Sharp (@SharpFootball) December 29, 2019

That was the best moment of the 2019 Chiefs regular season. To be sitting there watching the Chiefs on TV and have the announcer take over and start calling a second game. Just a perfect moment. And then the crowd finds out and everyone starts jumping up and down. I'M CALLING BOTH GAMES!

So after all that worrying about that Titans choke job, it didn't matter. (Whispers: In fact, it helped us get Suggs on the waiver wire, however much that might help, we'll see.)

So the Chiefs get the bye. That's an extra week to get healthy. An extra week to study the Patriots. A week that the Patriots won't have to get healthy or study the Chiefs. And the Chiefs next game is at home.

A Chiefs appearance in the AFC Championship will either be Chiefs at Baltimore or Titans/Texans/Bills at Kansas City.

So first good news, it's not going to end the same way as last year against the Patriots in the AFC Championship.

- - -

Not too much more to say since we don't even know our next opponent. There will be more to write about in the coming weeks. So for now let's pause and just take this moment to enjoy this song.

Kansas City, this one's for you.@PatrickMahomes: A Special Live Music Video pic.twitter.com/a1k4rVd9HX

— The Ringer (@ringer) September 22, 2019

Oh and by the way, so far everything in this video has come true.
✅Won the division
✅Beat Phil Rivers twice
✅Beat Tom Brady
❓ Headed to Miami

Making the Case for NFL Playoff Teams

The list of teams that can win Super Bowl LIV has been narrowed from 32 to 12. Here's the case for and against all of them.


Baltimore Ravens

FOR

They've been the best, hottest and most consistent team in the league.
They've won 12 in a row.
They have the 2019 MVP, Lamar Jackson.
They'll have home-field advantage throughout the playoffs.
They have an electric offense, strong defense and elite special teams too.
Even playing 2nd string, they can crush a wild-card level team.
On paper, they don't really have any weaknesses.
They're the Vegas favorite to win the damn thing for a reason.
They've beat excellent teams this year.

AGAINST

Lamar Jackson is 0-1 in the playoffs.
Lamar Jackson's Ravens are 0-2 vs the Chiefs.
If you're making parallels to last year, this year's Ravens are last year's Chiefs. Young QB takes the league by storm and gets crowned the MVP. A team that had so much success and didn't have to face that much adversity. And last year the MVP came up one defensive stop short of getting to the Super Bowl.
Perhaps they peaked in November?


Kansas City Chiefs

FOR

They were one play away from the Super Bowl with a crappy defense and over the last month, their defense has been a top 5 unit.
They're peaking at the right time, entering the postseason with a 6-game winning streak.
They beat the Ravens and Patriots this year.
They've won in heat, snow and at altitude.
They have the reigning MVP, Patrick Mahomes.
Earning the bye and a week to rest + prepare, plus getting a home game is a big boost.
They've seemed like the only team that can handle Lamar Jackson.
Damien Williams has fresh legs.

AGAINST

The offense hasn't put up numbers like they did last year.
The defense has had moments of weakness, at the end of the Titans game and the Colts stampede come to mind.
Although mostly healthy now, the team has battled injuries all year. Their chemistry with each other is probably not at it's peak.
The injury to Juan Thornhill (safety) could prove costly.
There might be some history of playoff collapses but that was pre-Mahomes so we're not going to even bring that up.


New England Patriots

FOR

At times this defense has looked like a historically great unit.
They still have Brady and Belichick and that's usually been more than enough.
This team started 8-0.
They still have their first game at home and have shown they can win in Arrowhead in the playoffs.
Betting against the Patriots has historically been a bad call.

AGAINST

They finished 4-4.
This team lost at home to Miami when they really wanted to win.
Brady really doesn't have anyone to throw to.
Brady's numbers from this year are average to below average.
The Chiefs and Texans and Ravens all beat the Patriots.


Houston Texans

FOR 

Their QB is Deshaun Watson. In 2016 he lost in the National Championship Game. In 2017 he came back and won the National Championship. Would not surprise me at all if he puts the team on his back.
They beat the Chiefs, Patriots and Titans when it mattered.
They basically used week 17 as a bye and get to play at home in a dome their first game.

AGAINST

Their coaching is suspect.
JJ Watt was injured and even if he comes back is unlikely to be at full strength.
Got blown out by the Ravens.
Doesn't seem to be on same level as the three teams above them.


Buffalo Bills

FOR

They're a tough out.
They played the Ravens close.
They beat the Dolphins twice, which is more than the Patriots can say.
Crazier things have happened.

AGAINST

They're not ready yet.
Winning one game would be a success.


Tennessee Titans

FOR

With Tannehill, this team has been as good as anyone.
Derrick Henry can run through anything.
Vrabel has them playing and believing.
They beat good teams.

AGAINST

Their path is brutal. On the road at New England. On the road at Baltimore. On the road at Kansas City.
At some point, everyone's going to see that he's still Tannehill.
They couldn't beat the Texans in week 15 when they had a chance to win the division.


NFC

San Francisco 49ers

FOR

They have an incredibly strong resume of wins.
They're both battle tested/coming in hot + get a bye to recover.
Kittle is a monster that can take a game over.
Their defense can keep them in any game.
Homefield matters. Won't have to go to Superdome or Lambeau. In fact, won't have to play both Packers and Saints.

AGAINST

They lack playoff experience.
Their QB isn't a top-5 QB.
A lot of their games were close and could have swung either way. Only takes one fluky play to knock a team out of the playoffs.


Green Bay Packers

FOR

Haven't seemed that impressive but still got a bye. If they turn it on more, watch out.
Never had the lead in both Lions games but won both. They find a way to win.
Aaron Rodgers winning his second Super Bowl seems like it should happen one of these years.
No longer coached by Mike McCarthy.

AGAINST

Haven't seemed that impressive.
Never had the lead in both Lions games.
Got blown out by 49ers.


New Orleans Saints

FOR

Have been on the doorstep 3 years in a row.
Playing well on both sides of the ball.
Coaching advantage.
Drew Brees + Michael Thomas is a winning combination.
First opponent is a Minnesota Miracle revenge game.

AGAINST

Calls and breaks seem to go against them.


Philadelphia Eagles

FOR 

Nobody believes in them which they rode to a SB win two years ago.
Wentz wants his time to shine.

AGAINST

They've played like dogshit most of the year.


Seattle Seahawks

FOR

Played the most crazy games of the year and won a ton of them.
Russell Hustle and Bustle can pull off crazy stuff.
Beast Mode is apparently a thing again and would be a fun story.
Have a better record than their first opponent.
Know they can beat the 49ers.

AGAINST

Still a tough road to win four games.
Seemed like they lost a bit of their magic.


Minnesota Vikings

FOR

Anything can happen?
If Dalvin Cook is healthy, they've got a chance.

AGAINST

Minnesota Miracle revenge game likely to be one and done.
Tough draw.
Kirk Cousins.




I've technically made 24 cases. 12 will be correct.

Calcutta Transcript for Playoff Teams

Here's the 2019 auction transcript for just the playoff teams.

AFC

1-seed Baltimore Ravens

Dave: Ravens for 1
Matt: out
Niraj: 1.25
Dave: 1.5
Niraj: 2
Dave: 2.5
Niraj: out

2-seed Kansas City Chiefs

Dave: Chiefs for $5
Niraj: 5.5
Matt: 6
Dave: 7
Kirat: 6.15
Niraj: so much table talk
Mark: 6.5 on more of that loser money for the chiefs
Niraj: 6.6
Mark: 7.5
Dave: 7.75
Mark: 8
Kirat: 8.05
Dave: 8.25
Kirat: 8.3
Matt: otu
Dave: 8.5
Mark: 8.55
Kirat: 8.6
Dave: 8.8
Kirat: 8.85
Mark: 9
Kirat: out
Dave: 9.25
Mark: 9.3
Dave: 9.5
Mark: 9.95
Dave: 10 final offer
Mark: 10.05
Just want to see if you're a liar
Kirat: now thats table talk
Dave: well shit

3-seed New England Patriots

Kirat: patriots 6
Mark: 7
Kirat: 8
Dave: 8.5
Mark: 8.5
Kirat: 8.9
Mark: 9
Kirat: 9.5
Dave: mark you going costa rica?
Mark: thought about it, but nah

4-seed Houston Texans

Matt: Texans .1
Mark: .55
Matt: .6
Dave: 2
Kirat has left.
Niraj: 2.5
Dave: 3
Matt: 3.1
Dave: 3.5
Matt: 3.6
Niraj: 3.75
Dave: 4
Matt: 4.1
Dave: out
Niraj: 4.25
Matt: 4.5
Niraj: 4.75
Matt: 5
Niraj: 5.25
Matt: 5.3
Niraj: 5.5
Matt: 5.7
Niraj: out
Dave: wowza

5-seed Buffalo Bills

Dave: .6 on bills
Matt: 1
Mark: what an asshole, right burnsy?
Dave: 1.4
Niraj: seriously

6-seed Tennessee Titans

Mark: titans for .55
Dave: .60
Niraj: 1
Mark: am i going to get to use my money?
Dave: haha
Dave: 1.25
Niraj: 1.5
Dave: out

Loser Money Winner: Cincinnati Bengals

Mark: bengals for .55
Dave: .6
Dave: matt?
Matt: nope


NFC

1-seed San Francisco 49ers

Mark: lets stay in the area. 49ers for .55
Matt: Burfict will spear Mahomes and concus him
Dave: .60
Dave: going?
Dave: gone

2-seed Green Bay Packers

Niraj: Packers 1
Matt: out
Mark: you're not letting me play
Dave: 2
Niraj: 2.5
Dave: 3
Niraj: 3.5
Dave: 4
Niraj: 5
Dave: yours

3-seed New Orleans Saints

Matt: Saints .5
Mark: the patriots are done. the jets are winning the division
Niraj: 2
Kirat: 5
Dave: 6
Niraj: 6.5
Kirat: 6.6
Dave: 7
Niraj: 7.25
Kirat: 7.4
Dave: 7.5
Kirat: 7.7
Dave: 8
Niraj: 8.5
Kirat: 9
Dave: goddamn

4-seed Philadelphia Eagles

Mark: eagles for .55
Dave: 1
Matt: 1.1
Niraj: And I hate the fuckin' Eagles, man
Dave: 1.5
Niraj: 1.6
Dave: 2
Niraj: 2.5
Dave: 3
Niraj: 3.5
Dave: 4
Niraj: 4.5
Dave: 5
Niraj: 5.5
Dave: 7
Niraj: hey-o! out
Matt: All this for the eagles?
Dave: gone
Kirat: wow
Matt: Carson Wentz will play +/- 8 games?

5-seed Seattle Seahawks

Kirat: seahawks 1.5
Dave: 1.55
Kirat: out
Niraj: 1.6
Dave: 2
Niraj: 2.25
Dave: out

6-seed Minnesota Vikings

Kirat: is fym saving $ for 2021?
Niraj: lol
Niraj: Vikings 0.5
Dave: we haven't gotten to the good teams yet
Kirat: true.
Niraj: saving for the Dolphins
Mark: .55
Niraj: use $20 to win 3
Dave: 1
Mark: out
Niraj: 1.5
Dave: 1.75
Niraj: out
Dave: going
Dave: gone
Dave: matt you there?
Niraj: is matt there?
Niraj: probably fell asleep eating cheese

Other Highlights from the Auction

Kirat: dolphins .95
Niraj: 1
Dave: WOW
Kirat: this loser $ is a great call Fym
Niraj: booyah, 300% return

Matt: Dolphins .6
Dave: no
Dave: broncos and bucs
Matt: do i get the dolphins or no?
Dave: Matt you have to pick Broncos or Bucs
Dave: Burnsy owns the Dolphins
Mark: burnsy already bought them
Niraj: Dolphins were long gone
Matt: shit
Niraj: lolol
Matt: I give so few fucks

Niraj: gotta add more rows for Dave's penny stocks ;P

Mark: always go for the big dicks. trust me

Calcutta Update

2019 NFL Sportsbook Recap: Part One

Back in August I published my NFL Futures bets. Here's how I did.


I started with 10,000. Can I turn a profit?

2000 on Chiefs to win division at -150 WIN. PAYOUT = $3334 (includes original 2000 staked)
1000 on Ravens to win division at +300 WIN. PAYOUT = $4000
800 on Colts to win division at +500 LOSS.
200 on Bills to win division at +950 LOSS.
1000 on Eagles to win division at -110 WIN. PAYOUT = $1909
1500 on Patriots to make the Super Bowl at +325 ?????????????
1500 on Chiefs to make the Super Bowl at +350 ?????????????
1000 on Mahomes over 4650 passing yards at -110 LOSS.
800 on Chiefs over 10.5 wins at -110 WIN. PAYOUT = $1527.20
200 on Chiefs to win Super Bowl at +800 ?????????????

Current Total: 10,770

I've already turned a profit. If Pats or Chiefs make the Super Bowl, it will go up by at least 6000.

Ravens was a great pick at +300. Should have jumped off the Colts after Luck retired. Bills won double digit games and it's still a loss. Mahomes would have gone over if he hadn't gotten injured, but that's baked into the bet.

Another good year, with a chance to make it really good.

Holiday Break Gaming

We went from 1 PS4 controller to 4 of them. So that's opened up a whole world of split-screen and co-op gaming. Here are the highlights.

Hitman 2 100%

I got Hitman 2 in January. And basically it was the only game that I played all year. The best gaming experience of my life.

Mahomes Good

Average QB in 2019, Revisited

3 weeks into the season, I looked at what it means to be an average quarterback in 2019.

Now that the regular season is essentially complete, it's time to look back and see what we can learn.

First let's see the current 2019 passing stats:

ANY/A

Passer Rating

By ANY/A the 5 most average QBs of 2019 are:
Goff
Keenum
Brady
Wentz
Winston

By Passer Rating the 5 most average QBs of 2019 are:
Ryan
Minshew
Rivers
Brissett
Jones

No overlap of our two metrics. Hmmm.

By combining metrics, the two most average passers this year were Brady and Ryan.

Three weeks in, I had identified Ryan, Bridgewater and Dalton. Here's how they ended up in both metrics, out of 32/33 guys:

Ryan: 20th and 15th
Bridgewater: did not qualify but finished with a 6.67 ANY/A (12th place) and 98.9 rating (11th place)
Dalton: 29th and 32nd

So Ryan stayed average all year.
Dalton plummeted.
And Bridgewater improved, albeit in a small sample size.

- - -

The original question was about Jacoby Brissett and although he started the season above average, he finished below average.

- - -

One note, that we could have predicted. The average ANY/A and Passer Rating went down slightly comparing a full season to just the first three weeks. The extreme highs came back to earth and the extreme lows became more respectable. Smaller sample size allows for more extremes.

- - -

Worth noting the 2018 leader in ANY/A: Patrick Mahomes
The current 2019 leader in ANY/A: Patrick Mahomes

Last year he attempted 580 passes. This year, he missed time due to injury and has attempted 459 with one regular season game to go.

2018: 5097 yards, 50 touchdowns, 12 int (2.1% int rate), rating 113.8, ANY/A 8.89
2019: 3857 yards, 25 touchdowns, 4 int (.9 % int rate), rating 106.6, ANY/A 8.51

Got injured, touchdowns number came down, but also improved on interceptions. Still the best passer in the league by ANY/A for both seasons he's played.

Fastest QB to 9,000 passing yards.
Fastest QB to 75 touchdowns.

It's only two seasons, but he'll have a shot at the all-time records.

The Best Seasonal Foods

Fall
Caramel Apples

Winter: Pre-Christmas
Peppermint Bark

Winter: Post-Christmas
Hickory Farms Summer Sausage

- - -

Where I live, they only sell caramel apples in the fall. This year, our family ate 50+.

As soon as peppermint bark appears in stores, I buy some for myself.

And then Christmas week, either I get Hickory Farms summer sausage as I gift...or I go out and buy it myself. I went to the mall in Denver the day or two after Christmas and the Hickory Farms kiosk was 60% off. Truly a reason to be thankful.

- - -

I thought about hot dogs and beer or grilled burgers for the summer, but you can get those year-round. The three foods above, you literally can't get them any other time. Same for wings and tacos.

Maybe the only other thing would be Reese's trees/eggs/pumpkins, but I don't think they make the same list up top.

What other seasonal foods am I missing?

The Broncos Magic Trick

THE PLEDGE

THE TURN

THE PRESTIGE

I wasn't sure how the Broncos were going to shake up a division that already crowned its winner, but this ain't it Chief. Maybe should have kept that if in there, huh?

Cast Iron Jerk Chicken

Nostalgia is a tough thing to chase. And yet here I am.

The summer before I started college, my friends and I took a trip to Jamaica. A week in an island paradise to swim and listen to music and hang out. I wrote a short story that blatantly ripped off Fight Club even though I wouldn't recognize it for a while. But the thing that stuck with me the most has to be the food.

Foods that I tried for the first time and have never been able to relive the tastes since. Rice and peas, which are really beans. Fried plantains, which aren't deep-fried. Beef patties, which are empanada-like. And the crown jewel, jerk chicken.

That week I had jerk chicken at least three times from different vendors in the area. I remember one was very reminiscent of barbecue chicken, and another that was very different, unlike anything I'd had before. But they were all delicious.

Over the last 18 years, I've tried various Jamaican restaurants trying to experience those flavors again. Here's a typical result.

Since I've been on a cast-iron kick and getting more confident in the kitchen, I thought it was time to attempt my own jerk chicken.

(My junior year of college, I hosted a Jamaican dinner for friends. Jerk chicken and jerky potatoes for vegetarians were on the menu, but I just used a store bought sauce. A college-budget approximation of the dish.)

I knew my technique would be to use skin-on, bone-in chicken thighs like I did in this recipe. Get the skin perfect, flip and finish cooking the meat through in the oven.

So the question was how do I make the sauce?

I found four that looked good: Caribbean Pot, Bon Appetit, Food and Wine, and Spruce Eats.

One of the first things that I did was compare all the ingredients to understand what "jerk" really means. The common elements seemed to be allspice, thyme, scotch bonnet peppers, scallions.

I decided on Caribbean Pot, because it seemed likely to me that it was the most authentic. But then I figured it wouldn't be that much harder to make 2 marinades because they overlap ingredients. Based on looks, I picked the Spruce Eats recipe as well.

The snag I ran into is that I couldn't find scotch bonnets in Overland Park. I went to three stores and called a fourth. The fourth said he tried to order some but they were out of stock. So maybe I'll have access to them one day. The habanero is the closest so I brought those home.

So I made two batches of marinade in my food processor. In all pictures, the Caribbean Pot recipe is on the left, Spruce Eats on the right. Two chicken thighs in each bag.

Despite sharing most ingredients, they looked quite a bit different. The left one has half a cup of orange juice and half an onion. It was quite liquidy and made about twice as much. The one on the right was more of a paste and obviously much darker. Here's the phase cooking skin down.

Once I got the color I wanted on the skin, I flipped them...

and added the remaining marinade to each batch.

Then the pan went in a 425-degree oven for 15-20 minutes.

Here's the finished product. It looks really dark, but it didn't taste burnt. The marinades have brown sugar in them so they definitely caramelized and got a nice dark bark.

I even took a bonus shot of one cut open so you can see how juicy the meat is.

Both turned out very tasty. But it was easy to pick a winner in my mind. Once I saw the colors of the marinades, I though the Spruce Eats one looked like the right dark color. I kept an open mind and in the end, the colors of the final product were pretty similar. But the Spruce Eats one tasted better.

Here's the winning recipe in case Hoagie Central outlives the Spruce Eats.

First, the alterations I made. I threw in maybe a teaspoon of whole allspice berries, plus maybe a teaspoon more of ground allspice. Definitely not half a cup, because that seemed like a crazy amount. I used 2 whole habanero instead of the scotch bonnets. I used 5 whole sprigs of fresh thyme. I used 5 scallions instead of 2 bunches. I used 2 tsp salt and 1/2 tsp black pepper. And I used 2 packets of soy sauce since I don't actually pay for soy sauce.

I think the main reason this one was better is for what it didn't have in it. No orange juice, oil, vinegar or onion. So the result was a much more compact paste. In essence, it didn't get diluted with liquids or vegetables like the other one. More concentrated. Perhaps the only ingredient that I like from the other one that I could add to this one is the fresh ginger. But it's not like I could taste it or its absence from this test.

Also, the whole allspice berries did not get crushed in my food processor, so if I'm going to used those again, I feel like I should make sure they get crushed.

This recipe calls for 8 tablespoons of allspice, which is like a whole jar. I think 2 tablespoons would be plenty.


- - -

Now the big question. Did it taste like I remembered? To be honest, even before I made it, I couldn't remember what the Jamaican ones tasted like. It's been 18 years. Biting into didn't take me back to that week, but I don't know that if was in Jamaica today that it would bring back those memories.

Or maybe if I had the scotch bonnets, it would have.

Or maybe it needs to be smoked over pimento wood.

I made a really good Jerk Chicken today. At this point, I either have to be okay with that or travel to Jamaica and test how fragile memories can be.

Chiefs Win in Gillette: The Best A Fan Can Get

So Spags really is the Patriot killer after all.

Last year Mahomes put up 40 in Foxboro and lost. Then in the AFC Championship he put up 31 and lost. This year the Chiefs defense held the Patriots to 16 points. Mahomes got to shake Brady's hand for the first time as a winner. And then the Chiefs got to celebrate their division title in the Patriots locker room. That's a fun flight home.

- - -

By the way, that's 4 straight AFC West Titles. Before this streak, the Chiefs had never won the division in back to back years.

Andy Reid inherited a 2-14 team that was in complete disarray. The next year he went 11-5.

7 seasons with Reid. 7 with a winning record.

He won the division twice with Alex Smith and now twice with Mahomes.

The last time the Raiders won the division was 2002. If you're a 21-year-old Raiders fan you have no memories of ever winning the division, but you've seen Big Red win it four in a row.

- - -

This game played out very similar to last week's Patriot loss. They dig themselves a huge first half hole and in the second half come close to coming all the way back. But the early deficit was too big. The Patriot home crowd was booing their own team down 20-7 in the first half.

So clearly the story here is how the Chiefs went in to Foxboro and won, shifting the balance of power in the AFC and setting up some intriguing playoff games. No?

Ah, the Patriots got robbed! The Refs stole two touchdowns.

It's really tempting to just ignore it completely. But I'm game. I'll take the bait.

On the Kelce fumble, the Patriots do get the ball but weren't given the chance to return it. It wasn't going to be a touchdown as the Chiefs had 3 players back, but it cost the Pats about 20-25 yards of field position. Just a bit more than the Patriots benefited from after they shoved Mahomes out of bounds into a Gatorade cooler and no personal foul was called.

Then ensuing drive a Patriot appeared to score but was called out of bounds at the three. Upon slow-motion replay, you could tell the runner stayed in bounds. However, Belichick had already used his challenges. So the result of the play was (checks notes) 1st and Goal from the 3.

There's a case to be made that in the 3rd quarter of a close game, some coaches might not even challenge there because you might want to save the challenge for the 4th quarter, if you're wrong you lose another timeout, and you have 1st and Goal from the 3. (Sure, I'd challenge. But that's why you don't challenge a 1st down spot early in the 3rd quarter that rarely gets overturned.)

The Patriots end up kicking a field goal.

So what are people saying?

Ah yes, the Patriots missed out on two touchdowns. In a game where they lost by 7. What injustice!

But let's think about this. The fumble was on the drive preceding the bad pylon call. So if the Patriots did scoop and score that, they wouldn't have had the chance for the pylon score. If the pylon score was called correctly, the Pats would have ended up with 7. Instead they got 3.

So all told, the calls affected the score by 4 points.

If it was Andy Reid that ran out of challenges, people would be blaming Reid. Classic Reid, can't manage the clock or his challenges!

- - -

The Chiefs were the better team yesterday and won the game. It's pretty likely that the Chiefs will have to go back to Foxboro in January and do it again.

- - -

In fact, it sure looks like Baltimore will be the #1 seed, the Patriots #2, and Chiefs the #3.

For the Chiefs to get the bye, we need to win out and have the Pats to lose to Bengals, Bills or Dolphins. Even if the Pats lose one, I could see the Chiefs blowing a fluky game.

As the #3 seed, the likely path would be:

home game vs Titans or Steelers, road game at Patriots, road game at Ravens

Not easy. That's why blowing that Titans game earlier was so big. If the Pats get the bye, they get two weeks to prepare for the Chiefs and get healthy. The next game won't be as easy as yesterday.

Cast-Iron Rolls

Saturday was a double bread in cast-iron kind of day. 

As I mentioned recently, this recipe is actually why I purchased this pan way back in 2010. And I think I made the rolls in it once and didn't use the pan again for 7 years. 

I figured since I use the pan so much now and our whole family loves the rolls so much, that I should go ahead and see what it's like when you combine them. 

I also was in the mood to mix things up. So I skipped the rosemary and instead made a cinnamon honey butter in the style of Texas Roadhouse to serve with it. 

I told Brit it was in the style of Texas Roadhouse, and the first thing she said just by looking at it, was that I needed to whip it. And sure enough, that's the one thing that I didn't do in the recipe. I just didn't feel like getting out the hand mixer so I just folded it together by hand. The result was a thicker texture, more buttery than airy. Tasted great.

The rolls turn out great, but this is the first recipe where you don't really need the cast-iron pan. Some people might live for the pull apart form factor, but I think the quality is about the same as a normal sheet pan. Just as well, because on holidays I make 36 on two cookie sheets and this pan only fits 12.

Kind of ironic that the one recipe I thought I needed this pan for is the one recipe I actually don't.

Cast-Iron Cornbread

This was my first time making cornbread. It wasn't that I really wanted cornbread, it's that I'm looking to make all the things in cast iron. And cornbread is definitely one of the cast iron bucket list items. 

I thought about Jalapeno Cheddar, but figured for the first go round I should keep it classic. 

This was the recipe I used. Even though it called for a 10-inch skillet, it filled my 12-inch perfectly. The only substitution I made was using milk instead of buttermilk. 

It came out very moist and delicious. It was a little too dark on bottom, so I could try preheating less or trying to remove it from the pan after baking. 

Still, a success and something that I would make again. 

For the honey butter, I just mashed three drizzles of honey into a softened stick of butter, one at a time, just eyeing it until it had the color and smell I wanted.

1 1/2 cups cornmeal

1 cup all-purpose flour

1/3 cup sugar

4 teaspoons baking powder

1 teaspoon kosher salt

2 cups buttermilk

1 large egg

6 tablespoons unsalted butter, melted and divided

DIRECTIONS:

Preheat oven to 425 degrees F. Place an oven-proof 10-inch cast iron skillet in the oven.

In a large bowl, combine cornmeal, flour, sugar, baking powder and salt.

In a large glass measuring cup or another bowl, whisk together buttermilk, egg and 3 tablespoons butter. Pour mixture over dry ingredients and stir using a rubber spatula just until moist.

Remove skillet from the oven and add remaining 3 tablespoons until heated through, about 1-2 minutes.

Working carefully, immediately scoop the batter into the hot skillet. Place into oven and bake for 25-30 minutes, or until a tester inserted in the center comes out clean. Let cool 5 minutes.

Serve warm.

So Sunday is kind of a big deal

I don't really want to call attention to it, but the Chiefs are 0-2 vs Patriots with Mahomes as QB. They play Sunday. And they might play again in a month.

Both games were close and came down to the wire.

This year we've got a new D Coordinator who famously shut down the Patriots offense in two Super Bowls (with the Giants). And we've got their Defensive Line coach who should know some of the Patriots secret sauce.

So with all that, I'd really love to see those coaches have an impact on this game. This isn't a playoff game—there will be time in January for that. But I don't really want Mahomes to be 0-3 vs Brady. Time to prove we're a SB contender for real and that there's another outcome besides a Ravens-Pats AFC Conference Championship.

Cast Iron Cookboy

My favorite pan is my cast iron skillet. 

But it wasn't always that way. After graduating college, I was watching a lot of Food Network and I picked up that the best alternative to grilling in an apartment is cast-iron grill pan. I also picked up that you wanted it "ripping hot." What I didn't pick up is how to season a pan, how to clean it, or crucially that you need some fat/oil/butter, that a pan can be too hot, and that you should't make your burgers monstrously thick and expect them to cook through just because the pan is hot. 

The first time I used it was NFL opening day in 2006. Here's what I wrote about that experience: 

I was trying out, for the first time, grilling a raw burger on my cast-iron grill pan. And I had the Chiefs game on Tivo. Well, my cast-iron pan burned the outside of the meat, and left the inside raw. Our apartment filled with smoke, and it was about the worst burger I've ever tried to eat. When the apartment got smoky, I paused the game. Then later, on fast forward I see that Trent Green just got knocked out. It was not a good day. And I haven't used the grill pan since. 

By summer 2010, that experience had scared me off of cast-iron. As I wrote back then, I thought that cast-iron was too much work. 

But in November 2010, I bought a cast-iron skillet specifically for this single recipe: Rosemary Rolls.* I got a Lodge 12-inch skillet on Amazon for 18.97. So I bought the pan for the rolls, made them once and then kinda forgot about it. The pan was heavy and I didn't understand the benefits. 

Then in fall of 2017, I had been seeing and hearing great things about Kenji's Cast Iron Pizza. It's called foolproof, so I figured I could handle it. It was great. And in the process, I realized how nice it is to be able to go from stovetop to oven and back to stovetop if necessary. Since I had been watching Babish make burgers in his cast-iron, I figured I could do that too. And since my grandpa used his cast-iron for the Aunt Gerties (the thin pancakes) I thought I should try it that way too. 

And just by cooking a few things I discovered the real benefit of cast-iron: food just tastes better.

So those experiences led me to the castiron subreddit, where I finally learned about how to season it properly. And then you see examples of other good food other people are making and you want to cook more stuff. So you cook more stuff and it tastes good and you want to cook more. 

Then I'm on the subreddit and seeing people post these vintage Griswold or Wagner pans they're finding at thrift shops and talking about how smooth and black their pans are. So then I'm browsing eBay for vintage cast-iron. Brit sees what I'm doing and says to me, "You know who has an old cast-iron pan? Us!"

And you know what, she was right. I should use the skillet that I have more often. So I did. 

And the more I used it, the more I loved it. And I stopped worrying about how smooth or black it is, because every time it cooks perfect food. 

And now I have a greater appreciation for the tangible benefits: 

• it puts a great crust on meat
• it's super easy to cook thicker pieces through in the oven 
• it's easy to control
• pretty easy to brown deeply without burning
• food just tastes better

So then when I see a viral tweet like this:

It's funny. I understand because I thought this way for most of my life. And yet now I just feel bad for the guy. 

Yeah, it's heavy. But it's surprisingly easy to clean. And this $20 pan is going to last my whole life, while "non-stick" pans wear out after a couple years. 

*Ironically, the rosemary rolls recipe would become a holiday staple forever, and yet we make batches of 36 on two sheet pans at Thanksgiving so I don't even use the cast-iron pan for these. 

10th Anniversary of the Thanksgiving Leftover Sandwich

It's been 5 years since the last one...it was time.

Hawaiian Roll Bun. Mayo. Turkey. Pepper. Dressing. Brown Sugar Sweet Potatoes.

It was all warm and delicious.

It had been 5 years since I'd made stuffing and a big part of why I made it this year, was so I could have this sandwich.

Ravens Crowned Best Team of November

The Ultimate Movie Calendar

My very first movie theme night was Gear Up for Gere, the night Ray and I watched Primal Fear and The Jackal in high school. 20 years later, I did Hankering for Hanks—pretty sure it was Cast Away and Catch Me If You Can.

Then while listening to Remember the Titans on The Rewatchables podcast, I thought of Denzel December. A whole month going through Denzel's filmography. A few weeks later, Thanksgiving was approaching and I thought of Giving Thanks for T.Hanks in November. And once I had two months figured out, of course my brain was like, "well where's the rest of the year?" Here. Here's the rest of the year.

The Ultimate Movie Calendar. 12 months, each one recognizing a single filmography:

Samuel L. January
Fincher February
March with Matt
Apatow April
Murray May
Cruising into Summer
Celebrate Independence with Freeman
Al August
Streep September
Fall into Ford
Give Thanks for T.Hanks
Denzel December


So what does this look like? Here's what it looks like. I picked no more than 10 of the movies that I'd want to make sure made it into each month:

Samuel L. January 

Pulp Fiction
Die Hard with a Vengeance
A Time to Kill
The Negotiator
Do The Right Thing
Jurassic Park
Django Unchained
Goodfellas

Fincher February

Fight Club
Seven
Social Network
Panic Room
Gone Girl
The Game
Zodiac
Girl with the Dragon Tattoo

March with Matt

The Martian
Good Will Hunting
Rounders
Interstellar
Bourne Identity
Ocean's Eleven
Talented Mr. Ripley
The Departed
Dogma

Apatow April

Anchorman
40-Year-Old Virgin
Talladega Nights
Forgetting Sarah Marshall
Step Brothers
Funny People
Bridesmaids
This is 40
The Big Sick
Popstar: Never Stop Never Stopping

Murray May

Groundhog Day
Kingpin
Rushmore
Ghostbusters
Lost in Translation
Royal Tenenbaums
Stripes
Caddyshack
The Monuments Men
Zombieland

Cruising into Summer (June)

Edge of Tomorrow
Collateral
Knight and Day
Minority Report
Vanilla Sky
Magnolia
The Color of Money
A Few Good Men
Tropic Thunder
All Six Mission Impossible movies back to back so it counts as one movie

July: Celebrate Independence with Freeman

Shawshank Redemption
The Dark Knight
The Dark Knight Rises
Now You See Me
Now You See Me 2
Lucky Number Slevin
Bruce Almighty
Outbreak

Al August

Heat
Godfather
Godfather Part II
Scarface
Scent of a Woman
Insomnia
Any Given Sunday
The Recruit
Two for the Money
Ocean's Thirteen

Streep September

Adaptation
Devil Wears Prada
Julie & Julia
The Post
The Manchurian Candidate
Fantastic Mr. Fox
The Iron Lady
Doubt

Fall into Ford (October)

The Fugitive
Air Force One
Raiders of the Lost Ark
Temple of Doom
Last Crusade
What Lies Beneath
Patriot Games
Blade Runner
The Empire Strikes Back

November: Give Thanks for T.Hanks

Catch Me If You Can
Cast Away
Apollo 13
Forrest Gump
You've Got Mail
A League of Their Own
Saving Private Ryan
That Thing You Do
The Da Vinci Code
Captain Phillips

Denzel December

Inside Man
Training Day
He Got Game
Deja Vu
The Equalizer
Remember the Titans
Malcolm X
The Bone Collector
Fallen
The Taking of Pelham 123


- - -

A few notes.

• I wanted Will Ferrell but once I gave Fincher February there wasn't a spot for him. So instead I got Will Ferrell through Apatow April. 
• Apologies to Christopher Nolan. I considered having Nolan November and Give Thanks for T.Hanks but that threw off the 12 months thing and once you add one holiday now you have to add others, so yeah. But Freeman allowed me to have the Dark Knight movies, so it's not a complete loss.
• Apologies to Keanu Reeves. Just didn't fit. 
• Apologies to Leo. 
• I did try to maximize number of movies represented. Once I had Matt Damon and Fincher, I didn't need Pitt to get his own month. Once I had Pacino, I felt I could lose DeNiro. Even got Goodfellas through Sam Jackson.
• I'm aware this list is male-dominated (11 out of 12). I have my own biases and have to own that.
• I could easily lose Al August but would I replace it with? 
• Cruise has the deepest roster. Just wow.

Let me know in the comments if you'd swap one month out for a better one.
Do not let me know in the comments that I'm missing any of the Marvel movies. This was intentional.

Road to Super Bowl LIV: Chapter 4

The game was hanging in the balance and so was the season. If the Chiefs lose last night and they drop to 2nd place in the division at 6-5, there's a real path to them missing the playoffs. If they win, I could make the case for a deep postseason run. It really felt like the season was on the line. So when Rivers connects with Williams for a 50-yard pass in the final minute, I was having flashbacks to last year. In that game KC was up 28-14 but the Chargers came back and scored with 4 seconds left and went for two on the last one to win 29-28. So when the Chargers are driving down 17-24 last night, I was afraid they were going to score and go for two.

The season, the game, all hanging on one drive.

- - -

The two impact players brought onto the Chiefs defense were Tyrann Mathieu and Frank Clark. Throughout most of this year, they've played solidly, but not spectacularly. We've been waiting for plays where the impact the game.

Well, last night both of them showed up. Last night really was the Frank Clark game. He was constantly getting to Rivers, forcing one INT and another that should have been caught. He made a huge 3rd down run stop that should have been the game-ender if the Chiefs offense could have gotten one more first down. And Mathieu made a spectacular interception jumping a route and sparking the team's offense when they hadn't been able to get anything going. (Yes, he also was the one that dropped the pop up. Crazy that he can make a difficult pick but dropped the easy one. If this game ends differently, that play would be a bigger deal for sure.)

- - -

Someone not familiar with the sport might assume that how much a fan enjoys a win or is bothered by a loss should be equal to the final score. Win by a lot is the best, right? Lose by a lot is the worst, right? Someone who knows a little more might think that a close loss is worse than a blowout. But the galaxy brain take is this: enjoyment of wins or suffering of losses is proportional to how much you expected it to happen.

When the Chiefs beat the Raiders 28-10 earlier this year, it wasn't a big deal for me because it's what I expected.
The best wins are the ones where you think you're going to lose. Either a comeback win like Chiefs vs Vikings two weeks ago, or when a collapse seems eminent like last night.

When the Matt Moore-led Chiefs lost to the Packers, it didn't sting that badly because I expected the loss. (It only hurt because the Chiefs tied the game late and gave me hope that they would win.
The worst loss is when you've convinced yourself that your team has the game won, like vs the Titans last week.

- - -

Chiefs 8-0 vs Broncos in last 8.
Chiefs 9-1 vs Raiders in last 10.
Chiefs 10-1 vs Chargers in last 11.

Sure those are cherry picked starting with winning streaks.
If you just look at the last 5 years, the Chiefs are 24-3 in the division.

Beating the Chiefs is so rare for the Chargers, that last year when they won, they printed t-shirts:

Jump back to April, when Keenan Allen was asked about the Chiefs...

Chiefs defense: 4 picks last night

- - -

Not everything was perfect last night. On the last 4 drives of the game, when the Chiefs just needed a field goal, or at the very end, just one more first down, the offense punted the ball 4 straight times.

You can blame conservative Andy Reid or altitude or injuries or whatever, but that's not good enough to win in January.

- - -

But here's the good news, one of the biggest problems for the Chiefs this year has been health. And now they have a bye week.

All of the Chiefs most important units have been injured this year: Mahomes, Hill, Watkins, RBs, O-Line, D-Line. Last night they finally had their starting O-line back for the first time all year, but then more injuries starting popping up. Chiefs were down to one running back for the 2nd half. So this bye week is critical. No more games at altitude. 3 games at home. One at New England. One at Chicago. Get to have Thanksgiving off at home and then after Chicago on Dec 22, get to have Christmas at home too. Last game of the year is at home and then (assuming they can win the division) they get a home playoff game.

3 games at Arrowhead in December to get into a groove and close out the season with a 4th-straight division title.

Fun Fact: Matt Cassel and Tim Tebow have won the AFC West more recently than Philip Rivers.

- - -


The ESPN Playoff Machine is active so I went ahead and picked the outcome of the next 6 weeks of games:

Still a lot up for grabs obviously so I'm not taking this too seriously. I just wanted to get a frame of reference of what's realistic or probable. I don't think the Patriots will finish 15-1, but it was hard to predict them to lose any single game. There's still a good path for Ravens to get the one seed since they own the tiebreaker over New England. In fact, the Ravens should be rooting for the Chiefs to beat the Pats so they'd get the 1 seed and only have to face one of KC/NE.

The path for the Chiefs to get a bye involves winning out:

That's a lot to ask. And even then, they'd have to play the Ravens in the divisional round and the Pats in the conference title game. (Which is basically the same route as without the bye. Yes, it's one more home game but the Chiefs have actually been better on the road, so [shrug emoji].

My dream scenario is one that's not going to happen:

I would love for Baltimore to knock out New England and avoid playing the Patriots. But the Ravens aren't going to fall to the 4th seed.

Incidentally, when doing this, I realized how many great games are coming up.

Yes there's Chiefs/Patriots. But also Ravens/Rams and Ravens/49ers.

And the 49ers have a gauntlet coming up:

Some huge games that will determine home field and then some. That last game vs Seattle could be the difference between a bye and the 5th seed.

A lot of good football to be played.

As for the Chiefs, they just need to focus on the division. Win that, get a home playoff game and get healthy for some tough January games.